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EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 16.09.2025 11.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5080
Valid From: 2025 Sep 14 2015 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Sep 16 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Issued: 16.09.2025 11.20 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 16 1100 UTC
Station: GOES19

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 16.09.2025 02.39 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 16 0235 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 15.09.2025 22.41 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5079
Valid From: 2025 Sep 14 2015 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Sep 16 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 15.09.2025 22.05 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2101
Valid From: 2025 Sep 14 2330 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Sep 16 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 15.09.2025 20.58 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Sep 16: G1 (Minor) Sep 17: None (Below G1) Sep 18: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 15.09.2025 14.49 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 604
Valid From: 2025 Sep 15 0055 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Sep 15 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 15.09.2025 14.49 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2100
Valid From: 2025 Sep 14 2330 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Sep 15 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 15.09.2025 12.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 15 1256 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 15.09.2025 11.59 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 15 1159 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 15.09.2025 08.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5078
Valid From: 2025 Sep 14 2015 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Sep 15 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 15.09.2025 08.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 603
Valid From: 2025 Sep 15 0055 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Sep 15 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 15.09.2025 08.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2099
Valid From: 2025 Sep 14 2330 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Sep 15 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 15.09.2025 08.06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 15 0805 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 15.09.2025 03.32 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 15 0326 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Publié: 15.09.2025 02.59 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 15 0259 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Publié: 15.09.2025 02.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Valid From: 2025 Sep 15 0254 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Sep 15 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G3 or greater

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 15.09.2025 02.10 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 15 0207 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 15.09.2025 00.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2025 Sep 15 0055 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Sep 15 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 14.09.2025 23.47 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 14 2341 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 14.09.2025 23.29 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Sep 14 2330 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Sep 15 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 14.09.2025 23.22 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 14 2311 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 14.09.2025 20.17 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Sep 14 2015 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Sep 15 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 14.09.2025 18.51 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3523
Begin Time: 2025 Sep 13 1820 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 1181 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 14.09.2025 18.46 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Sep 15: G1 (Minor) Sep 16: None (Below G1) Sep 17: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 13.09.2025 19.02 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 13 1820 UTC
Station: GOES19

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 13.09.2025 14.42 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Sep 14: G1 (Minor) Sep 15: None (Below G1) Sep 16: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 11.09.2025 02.51 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 11 0244 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 11.09.2025 01.08 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Sep 11 0108 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Sep 11 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 10.09.2025 09.08 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Sep 10 0908 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Sep 10 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Comment: Corrected dates.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

CANCEL WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 10.09.2025 09.06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Cancel Serial Number: 2096
Original Issue Time: 2025 Sep 09 2240 UTC

Comment: Wrong Valid to date. Correction being issued.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 10.09.2025 05.46 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5075
Valid From: 2025 Sep 09 2100 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Sep 10 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 10.09.2025 05.46 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2095
Valid From: 2025 Sep 09 2240 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 10 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 09.09.2025 23.28 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 09 2316 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 09.09.2025 23.18 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2025 Sep 09 2318 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Sep 10 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 09.09.2025 23.18 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 09 2309 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 09.09.2025 22.40 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Sep 09 2240 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Sep 10 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 09.09.2025 22.02 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 09 2154 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 09.09.2025 22.01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Sep 09 2100 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Sep 10 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 09.09.2025 14.31 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 09 1420 UTC
Station: GOES19

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 09.09.2025 08.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5073
Valid From: 2025 Sep 09 0210 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Sep 09 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 09.09.2025 02.10 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Sep 09 0210 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Sep 09 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 08.09.2025 05.08 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 08 0508 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 08.09.2025 01.29 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Sep 08 0130 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Sep 08 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CANCEL WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 07.09.2025 18.01 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Cancel Serial Number: 1060
Original Issue Time: 2025 Sep 05 2112 UTC

Comment: Minor geomagnetic storm conditions are no longer expected to occur through the remainder of 07 Sep.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 06.09.2025 22.28 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5070
Valid From: 2025 Sep 06 0235 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Sep 07 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 06.09.2025 16.45 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 06 1642 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 06.09.2025 15.29 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Sep 06 1530 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Sep 06 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 06.09.2025 02.41 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 06 0240 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 06.09.2025 02.34 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Sep 06 0235 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Sep 06 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 05.09.2025 21.12 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Sep 05: G1 (Minor) Sep 06: G1 (Minor) Sep 07: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 04.09.2025 19.17 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Sep 05: G1 (Minor) Sep 06: G1 (Minor) Sep 07: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Comment: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming due to recurrent positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream effects is ikely by late on the 05 Sep UTC day and continuing into 06 Sep.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 03.09.2025 20.59 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Sep 04: None (Below G1) Sep 05: None (Below G1) Sep 06: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Comment: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is likely on 06 Sep due to recurrent, positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream influences.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 03.09.2025 05.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5068
Valid From: 2025 Sep 01 2040 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Sep 03 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 03.09.2025 05.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2091
Valid From: 2025 Sep 01 2041 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Sep 03 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 03.09.2025 03.01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 03 0259 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 02.09.2025 20.48 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 02 2047 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 02.09.2025 17.01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2025 Sep 02 1655 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Sep 02 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 02.09.2025 17.01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2090
Valid From: 2025 Sep 01 2041 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Sep 03 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 02.09.2025 16.59 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5067
Valid From: 2025 Sep 01 2040 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Sep 03 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 02.09.2025 16.57 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Sep 03: G1 (Minor) Sep 04: None (Below G1) Sep 05: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Comment: Lingering CME effects are likely to cause periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming on 03 Sep.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 02.09.2025 01.06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 02 0101 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 01.09.2025 22.41 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 01 2236 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

SUMMARY
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Publié: 01.09.2025 21.22 UTC
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Observed: 2025 Sep 01 2101 UTC
Deviation: 58 nT
Station: CNB

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 01.09.2025 21.08 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 01 2103 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 01.09.2025 21.08 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Sep 01 2101 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 01.09.2025 21.08 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2025 Sep 01 2107 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Sep 02 1459 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 01.09.2025 20.44 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Sep 01 2041 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Sep 02 2059 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Comment: Minor geomagnetic storming due to arrival of the 30 Aug CME is expected to commence and persist through the majority of 02 Sep.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 01.09.2025 20.41 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Sep 01 2040 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Sep 02 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Publié: 01.09.2025 20.39 UTC
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2025 Sep 01 2045 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Sep 01 2145 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2025 Sep 01 2030 UTC

WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 01.09.2025 09.34 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Valid From: 2025 Sep 01 0930 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Sep 01 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G3 Predicted
Publié: 31.08.2025 04.58 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G3 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Aug 31: None (Below G1) Sep 01: G2 (Moderate) Sep 02: G3 (Strong)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

SUMMARY
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Publié: 28.08.2025 11.29 UTC
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Begin Time: 2025 Aug 25 1355 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Aug 27 0740 UTC
End Time: 2025 Aug 27 1510 UTC
Maximum 10MeV Flux: 13 pfu
NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

EXTENDED WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 27.08.2025 08.48 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 608
Valid From: 2025 Aug 24 2340 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Aug 27 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

EXTENDED WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 26.08.2025 16.46 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 607
Valid From: 2025 Aug 24 2340 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Aug 27 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

EXTENDED WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 26.08.2025 11.26 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 606
Valid From: 2025 Aug 24 2340 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Aug 26 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

EXTENDED WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 25.08.2025 19.24 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 605
Valid From: 2025 Aug 24 2340 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Aug 26 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Comment: The greater than 10MeV proton flux continues to be at or near the 10 pfu threshold.

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

ALERT
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Publié: 25.08.2025 14.15 UTC
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Begin Time: 2025 Aug 25 1355 UTC
NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 25.08.2025 12.52 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3520
Begin Time: 2025 Aug 24 1620 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 1496 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 25.08.2025 11.39 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 604
Valid From: 2025 Aug 24 2340 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Aug 25 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 24.08.2025 23.39 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Valid From: 2025 Aug 24 2340 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Aug 25 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 24.08.2025 16.39 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2025 Aug 24 1620 UTC
Station: GOES19

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 21.08.2025 17.44 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2025 Aug 21 1735 UTC
Station: GOES19

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 21.08.2025 11.23 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Aug 21 0822 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 1323 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 20.08.2025 02.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5065
Valid From: 2025 Aug 19 1255 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Aug 20 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 20.08.2025 02.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2088
Valid From: 2025 Aug 19 1828 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Aug 20 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 19.08.2025 19.19 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Aug 19 1916 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 19.08.2025 18.29 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Aug 19 1828 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Aug 20 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 19.08.2025 14.27 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Aug 19 1416 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 19.08.2025 12.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Aug 19 1255 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Aug 20 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 19.08.2025 00.41 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Aug 19 0040 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Aug 19 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 18.08.2025 18.39 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Aug 19: G1 (Minor) Aug 20: G1 (Minor) Aug 21: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Comment: Isolated periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely 19 August due to recurrent, negative polarity CH HSS effects. Isolated periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely again on 20 August with continued CH HSS effects coupled with the possibility of glancing influences from a CME that left the Sun on 17 August.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 18.08.2025 06.22 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3517
Begin Time: 2025 Aug 10 1145 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 8023 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

Table

Date Radio flux 10.7 cm SESC Le nombre des taches solaires Tache de la zone 10E-6 De nouvelles régions GOES15 X-ray Bkgd flux éclairs
X-ray Optique
C M X S 1 2 3
17-08-2025 117 53 100 0 * 9 0 0 2 0 0 0
18-08-2025 114 73 120 2 * 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
19-08-2025 116 36 90 1 * 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
20-08-2025 120 59 180 2 * 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
21-08-2025 121 76 350 1 * 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
22-08-2025 136 51 380 0 * 1 3 0 1 0 0 0
23-08-2025 143 87 400 3 * 9 1 0 6 0 0 0
24-08-2025 152 102 550 2 * 7 1 0 1 0 0 0
25-08-2025 175 136 820 2 * 10 4 0 12 1 0 0
26-08-2025 202 193 1570 4 * 6 3 0 20 3 0 0
27-08-2025 226 227 1730 1 * 2 0 0 19 0 0 0
28-08-2025 232 201 1790 0 * 11 5 0 16 1 0 0
29-08-2025 222 195 1670 2 * 10 1 0 10 0 0 0
30-08-2025 317 183 1685 1 * 4 3 0 0 0 0 0
31-08-2025 217 188 1760 1 * 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
01-09-2025 202 165 1700 0 * 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
02-09-2025 187 175 1720 3 * 4 0 0 2 0 0 0
03-09-2025 180 128 1550 0 * 10 0 0 9 0 0 0
04-09-2025 172 150 1560 1 * 7 1 0 10 1 0 0
05-09-2025 149 128 1270 0 * 2 1 0 1 1 0 0
06-09-2025 146 108 790 1 * 8 1 0 6 0 0 0
07-09-2025 133 83 720 0 * 14 0 0 22 1 0 0
08-09-2025 124 93 570 0 * 8 0 0 5 0 0 0
09-09-2025 121 99 555 1 * 2 0 0 1 0 0 0
10-09-2025 119 94 490 1 * 2 0 0 2 0 0 0
11-09-2025 115 92 540 1 * 8 0 0 2 0 0 0
12-09-2025 114 67 480 0 * 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
13-09-2025 118 43 370 0 * 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
14-09-2025 122 75 470 2 * 9 0 0 3 0 0 0
15-09-2025 130 110 610 3 * 9 0 0 1 0 0 0
Moyenne/Total 158 116 886 35 179 25 0 151 8 0 0

Graphique de synthèse

éclairs

Solar wind

Solar Wind

Le vent solaire est un flux de plasma libéré de la haute atmosphère du Soleil. Il se compose principalement d'électrons, de protons et de particules alpha avec des énergies généralement comprises entre 1,5 et 10 keV. Le flux de particules varie en densité, température et vitesse dans le temps et sur la longitude solaire. Ces particules peuvent échapper à la gravité du Soleil en raison de leur haute énergie, de la température élevée de la couronne et des phénomènes magnétiques, électriques et électromagnétiques qu'elle contient.

Le vent solaire est divisé en deux composantes, respectivement appelées le vent solaire lent et le vent solaire rapide. Le vent solaire lent a une vitesse d'environ 400 km / s, une température de 1,4–1,6 × 10e6 K et une composition proche de la couronne. En revanche, le vent solaire rapide a une vitesse typique de 750 km / s, une température de 8 × 10e5 K et il correspond presque à la composition de la photosphère du Soleil. Le vent solaire lent est deux fois plus dense et plus variable en intensité que le vent solaire rapide. Le vent lent a également une structure plus complexe, avec des régions turbulentes et des structures à grande échelle.

Solar radio flux at 10.7 cm

Solar radio flux at 10.7 cm

Le flux radioélectrique solaire à 10,7 cm (2800 MHz) est un excellent indicateur de l'activité solaire. Souvent appelé indice F10.7, c'est l'un des enregistrements les plus anciens d'activité solaire. Les émissions radio F10.7 proviennent de haut dans la chromosphère et bas dans la couronne de l'atmosphère solaire. Le F10.7 est bien corrélé avec le nombre de taches solaires ainsi qu'avec un certain nombre d'enregistrements d'irradiance solaire UltraViolet (UV) et visible. Rapporté en «unités de flux solaire» (s.f.u.), le F10.7 peut varier de moins de 50 s.f.u., à plus de 300 s.f.u., au cours d'un cycle solaire.

Flares

Flares

Une éruption solaire est un éclair soudain de luminosité observé à la surface du Soleil ou sur le flanc solaire, qui est interprété comme une importante libération d'énergie allant jusqu'à 6 × 10e25 joules d'énergie. Ils sont souvent, mais pas toujours, suivis d'une éjection de masse coronale colossale. La fusée éjecte des nuages ​​d'électrons, d'ions et d'atomes à travers la couronne du soleil dans l'espace. Ces nuages ​​atteignent généralement la Terre un jour ou deux après l'événement.

Les éruptions solaires affectent toutes les couches de l'atmosphère solaire (photosphère, chromosphère et couronne), lorsque le milieu plasma est chauffé à des dizaines de millions de kelvin, tandis que les électrons, les protons et les ions plus lourds sont accélérés à près de la vitesse de la lumière. Ils produisent un rayonnement à travers le spectre électromagnétique à toutes les longueurs d'onde, des ondes radio aux rayons gamma, bien que la plupart de l'énergie soit répartie sur des fréquences en dehors de la plage visuelle et pour cette raison, la majorité des fusées éclairantes ne sont pas visibles à l'œil nu et doivent être observé avec des instruments spéciaux. Les éruptions se produisent dans les régions actives autour des taches solaires, où des champs magnétiques intenses pénètrent dans la photosphère pour relier la couronne à l'intérieur solaire. Les fusées éclairantes sont alimentées par la libération soudaine (de quelques minutes à des dizaines de minutes) d'énergie magnétique stockée dans la couronne. Les mêmes rejets d'énergie peuvent produire des éjections de masse coronale (CME), bien que la relation entre les CME et les éruptions ne soit pas encore bien établie.

La fréquence d'apparition des éruptions solaires varie, de plusieurs par jour lorsque le Soleil est particulièrement «actif» à moins d'une par semaine lorsque le Soleil est «calme», suivant le cycle de 11 ans (le cycle solaire). Les grosses fusées éclairantes sont moins fréquentes que les plus petites.

Classification

Les éruptions solaires sont classées comme A, B, C, M ou X selon le flux de pointe (en watts par mètre carré, W / m2) de rayons X de 100 à 800 picomètres près de la Terre, tel que mesuré sur le vaisseau spatial GOES.

Classification Peak Flux Range at 100-800 picometer
W/m2
A < 10e-7
B 10e-7 to 10e-6
C 10e-6 to 10e-5
M 10e-5 to 10e-4
X 10e-4 to 10e-3
Z > 10e-3

An earlier flare classification is based on Hα spectral observations. The scheme uses both the intensity and emitting surface. The classification in intensity is qualitative, referring to the flares as: (f)aint, (n)ormal or (b)rilliant. The emitting surface is measured in terms of millionths of the hemisphere and is described below. (The total hemisphere area AH = 6.2 × 1012 km2.)

Classification Corrected area
(millionths of hemisphere)
S < 100
1 100 - 250
2 250 - 600
3 600 - 1200
4 > 1200

Sunspot number

Sunspots

Les taches solaires sont des phénomènes temporaires sur la photosphère du Soleil qui apparaissent visiblement comme des taches sombres par rapport aux régions environnantes. Ils correspondent à des concentrations de champ magnétique qui inhibent la convection et entraînent une température de surface réduite par rapport à la photosphère environnante. Les taches solaires apparaissent généralement par paires, avec des membres de paires de polarité magnétique opposée. Le nombre de taches solaires varie en fonction du cycle solaire d'environ 11 ans.

Les populations de taches solaires augmentent rapidement et diminuent plus lentement selon un cycle irrégulier de 11 ans, bien que des variations significatives du nombre de taches solaires observant la période de 11 ans soient connues sur des périodes plus longues. Par exemple, de 1900 aux années 1960, la tendance des maxima solaires du nombre de taches solaires a été à la hausse; des années 1960 à nos jours, il a quelque peu diminué. Au cours des dernières décennies, le Soleil a eu un niveau moyen d'activité des taches solaires nettement élevé; il était également actif pour la dernière fois il y a plus de 8 000 ans.

Le nombre de taches solaires est en corrélation avec l'intensité du rayonnement solaire au cours de la période depuis 1979, lorsque les mesures par satellite du flux radiatif absolu sont devenues disponibles. Étant donné que les taches solaires sont plus sombres que la photosphère environnante, on peut s'attendre à ce que plus de taches solaires conduisent à moins de rayonnement solaire et à une constante solaire diminuée. Cependant, les marges environnantes des taches solaires sont plus lumineuses que la moyenne et sont donc plus chaudes; Dans l'ensemble, plus de taches solaires augmentent la constante solaire ou la luminosité du Soleil. La variation causée par le cycle des taches solaires à la production solaire est relativement faible, de l'ordre de 0,1% de la constante solaire (une plage pic à creux de 1,3 W / m2 contre 1366 W / m2 pour la constante solaire moyenne).

K-indices



Aujourd’hui


0h
UTC
3h
UTC
6h
UTC
9h
UTC
12h
UTC
15h
UTC
18h
UTC
21h
UTC
5. 00 3. 67 3.



Data


Estimated Planetary

Estimated Planetary

Date A K-indices (UTC)
0h 3h 6h 9h 12h 15h 18h 21h
18-08-2025 7 0. 33 0. 67 1.
19-08-2025 19 3. 00 2. 00 2.
20-08-2025 13 4. 00 3. 00 3.
21-08-2025 7 2. 67 2. 00 1.
22-08-2025 8 3. 00 2. 00 1.
23-08-2025 7 2. 67 2. 33 1.
24-08-2025 6 2. 00 1. 67 1.
25-08-2025 8 1. 00 1. 33 1.
26-08-2025 8 1. 67 3. 00 2.
27-08-2025 8 1. 33 1. 33 1.
28-08-2025 7 2. 00 1. 67 2.
29-08-2025 6 2. 33 2. 00 1.
30-08-2025 7 2. 00 1. 33 2.
31-08-2025 8 2. 33 2. 00 1.
01-09-2025 16 2. 00 1. 33 1.
02-09-2025 34 5. 33 4. 33 4.
03-09-2025 12 4. 67 3. 33 2.
04-09-2025 10 2. 00 1. 33 2.
05-09-2025 8 1. 67 0. 67 1.
06-09-2025 26 4. 00 3. 67 4.
07-09-2025 5 1. 00 1. 00 0.
08-09-2025 13 3. 33 3. 67 2.
09-09-2025 19 3. 33 2. 33 2.
10-09-2025 13 4. 33 4. 33 1.
11-09-2025 10 4. 00 2. 67 2.
12-09-2025 9 1. 00 2. 67 2.
13-09-2025 6 1. 67 2. 67 2.
14-09-2025 14 2. 00 2. 00 2.
15-09-2025 48 6. 67 5. 33 5.
16-09-2025 25 5. 00 3. 67 3.

Middle Latitude

Date A K-indices
18-08-2025 5 0 0 1 2 3 2 1 2
19-08-2025 16 3 2 2 3 4 3 4 3
20-08-2025 12 3 3 3 2 3 2 2 3
21-08-2025 8 3 2 1 2 3 1 2 2
22-08-2025 9 3 2 1 2 3 1 3 2
23-08-2025 7 2 2 1 2 3 1 2 1
24-08-2025 5 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1
25-08-2025 7 0 1 1 2 4 2 2 1
26-08-2025 10 2 3 3 2 3 2 1 2
27-08-2025 9 2 1 1 3 3 2 3 2
28-08-2025 7 1 1 2 2 3 2 2 2
29-08-2025 6 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 1
30-08-2025 8 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 2
31-08-2025 9 2 2 1 3 3 2 2 2
01-09-2025 9 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 4
02-09-2025 25 5 4 4 3 3 4 4 3
03-09-2025 8 3 3 2 2 2 1 2 1
04-09-2025 10 2 1 2 3 3 3 2 2
05-09-2025 8 1 0 1 3 3 2 2 3
06-09-2025 17 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 1
07-09-2025 4 1 1 0 1 2 2 1 2
08-09-2025 10 3 3 2 3 2 2 2 2
09-09-2025 15 3 2 3 2 3 2 2 5
10-09-2025 12 4 4 1 2 3 2 1 2
11-09-2025 10 3 2 3 2 3 2 1 2
12-09-2025 9 1 3 3 3 2 2 2 1
13-09-2025 7 1 2 3 2 2 2 1 1
14-09-2025 12 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 4
15-09-2025 34 6 5 4 4 5 3 3 3
16-09-2025 5 3 3 3 3 2

High Latitude

Date A K-indices
18-08-2025 14 0 1 1 5 4 4 1 1
19-08-2025 25 3 2 3 5 5 4 4 3
20-08-2025 21 4 3 4 6 2 2 1 0
21-08-2025 4 3 2 1 0 0 0 1 1
22-08-2025 3 4 3 3
23-08-2025 6 2 3 2 2 2 0 1 1
24-08-2025 6 1 3 1 2 2 1 1 1
25-08-2025 12 0 1 1 2 5 4 1 1
26-08-2025 24 2 4 3 5 3 5 2 4
27-08-2025 12 2 1 1 2 3 3 3 4
28-08-2025 9 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 3
29-08-2025 6 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2
30-08-2025 11 2 1 3 4 2 3 2 2
31-08-2025 6 2 1 1 3 1 2 2 1
01-09-2025 10 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 5
02-09-2025 27 4 4 4 3 5 3 4 4
03-09-2025 11 4 3 2 3 2 2 2 1
04-09-2025 19 1 1 3 5 4 5 1 2
05-09-2025 12 2 0 1 5 2 2 2 3
06-09-2025 51 3 5 6 6 5 6 5 2
07-09-2025 4 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 3
08-09-2025 24 3 3 5 5 4 4 2 2
09-09-2025 23 3 2 3 5 4 3 2 5
10-09-2025 18 5 5 2 3 2 3 1 1
11-09-2025 14 3 4 4 3 3 2 1 1
12-09-2025 21 0 2 4 6 4 3 2 1
13-09-2025 14 1 3 4 5 3 1 0 0
14-09-2025 12 1 1 3 4 3 2 2 3
15-09-2025 60 4 5 7 6 6 5 4 4
16-09-2025 4 3 6 5 6 4

About

The K-index quantifies disturbances in the horizontal component of earth's magnetic field with an integer in the range 0–9 with 1 being calm and 5 or more indicating a geomagnetic storm. It is derived from the maximum fluctuations of horizontal components observed on a magnetometer during a three-hour interval. The label K comes from the German word Kennziffer meaning “characteristic digit”. The K-index was introduced by Julius Bartels in 1938.

The Estimated 3-hour Planetary Kp-index is derived at the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center using data from the following ground-based magnetometers:

  • Sitka, Alaska
  • Meanook, Canada
  • Ottawa, Canada
  • Fredericksburg, Virginia
  • Hartland, UK
  • Wingst, Germany
  • Niemegk, Germany
  • Canberra, Australia

These data are made available thanks to the cooperative efforts between SWPC and data providers around the world, which currently includes the U.S. Geological Survey, Natural Resources Canada (NRCAN), the British Geological Survey, the German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ), and Geoscience Australia. Important magnetometer observations are also contributed by the Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris and the Korean Space Weather Center K-index Watches are issued when the highest predicted NOAA estimated Kp-indices for a day are K = 5, 6, 7, or >= 8 and is reported in terms of the NOAA G scale. K-index Warnings are issued when NOAA estimated Kp-indices of 4, 5, 6, and 7 or greater are expected. K-index Alerts are issued when the NOAA estimated Kp-indices reach 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, or 9.


More info
Source de données: NOAA, Wikipedia

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