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EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 18.12.2025 05.57 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5187
Valid From: 2025 Dec 17 2044 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Dec 18 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 18.12.2025 05.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2156
Valid From: 2025 Dec 17 2221 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Dec 18 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 18.12.2025 03.18 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5186
Valid From: 2025 Dec 17 2044 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Dec 18 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 18.12.2025 00.02 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 17 2330 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 17.12.2025 22.21 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Dec 17 2221 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Dec 18 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 17.12.2025 20.50 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 17 2050 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 17.12.2025 20.45 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Dec 17 2044 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Dec 18 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 17.12.2025 15.06 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 17 1405 UTC
Station: GOES19

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

CANCEL WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 17.12.2025 00.04 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Cancel Serial Number: 1081
Original Issue Time: 2025 Dec 15 2245 UTC

Comment: Conditions no longer warrant watch.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 16.12.2025 01.11 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Dec 16 0110 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Dec 16 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 15.12.2025 22.45 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Dec 16: None (Below G1) Dec 17: None (Below G1) Dec 18: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 14.12.2025 09.32 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 14 0744 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 585 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 13.12.2025 14.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5183
Valid From: 2025 Dec 10 2040 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Dec 14 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 13.12.2025 11.06 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 13 1049 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 778 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 13.12.2025 03.02 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 13 0259 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 12.12.2025 22.50 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 12 2248 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 12.12.2025 22.37 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5182
Valid From: 2025 Dec 10 2040 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Dec 13 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 12.12.2025 19.43 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 12 1942 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 12.12.2025 19.42 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Dec 12 1940 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Dec 13 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 12.12.2025 10.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5181
Valid From: 2025 Dec 10 2040 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Dec 12 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Type IV Radio Emission
Publié: 12.12.2025 05.58 UTC
Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 12 0527 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 12.12.2025 05.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2153
Valid From: 2025 Dec 11 1900 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Dec 12 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 12.12.2025 05.28 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 12 0508 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 410 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 11.12.2025 23.39 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5180
Valid From: 2025 Dec 10 2040 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Dec 12 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 11.12.2025 23.39 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2152
Valid From: 2025 Dec 11 1900 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Dec 12 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 11.12.2025 20.59 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 11 1914 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 11.12.2025 19.19 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Dec 11 1900 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Dec 12 0000 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 11.12.2025 03.39 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2150
Valid From: 2025 Dec 10 2115 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Dec 11 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 11.12.2025 03.37 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5179
Valid From: 2025 Dec 10 2040 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Dec 11 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 11.12.2025 02.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 628
Valid From: 2025 Dec 10 2200 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Dec 11 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 11.12.2025 02.52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 11 0242 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Publié: 11.12.2025 00.16 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 10 2206 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Dec 10 2206 UTC
End Time: 2025 Dec 10 2208 UTC
Duration: 2 minutes
Peak Flux: 520 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 168 sfu

Comment: This summary contains the corrected peak flux of 520 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

CANCEL SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Publié: 11.12.2025 00.14 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Cancel Serial Number: 893
Original Issue Time: 2025 Dec 10 2226 UTC

Comment: the total flux was 520 sfu instead of the reported one.
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 10.12.2025 22.44 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 10 2243 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 10.12.2025 22.29 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 10 2208 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 849 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Publié: 10.12.2025 22.26 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 10 2206 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Dec 10 2206 UTC
End Time: 2025 Dec 10 2208 UTC
Duration: 2 minutes
Peak Flux: 2695 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 168 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 10.12.2025 22.13 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 10 2207 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 10.12.2025 22.07 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2149
Valid From: 2025 Dec 10 2115 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Dec 11 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 10.12.2025 22.06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5178
Valid From: 2025 Dec 10 2040 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Dec 11 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 10.12.2025 21.57 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2025 Dec 10 2200 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Dec 11 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 10.12.2025 21.20 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 10 2111 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 10.12.2025 21.17 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Dec 10 2115 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Dec 11 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 10.12.2025 20.40 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Dec 10 2040 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Dec 11 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 10.12.2025 07.08 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Dec 10 0707 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Dec 10 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CANCEL WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G3 Predicted
Publié: 09.12.2025 21.03 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G3 Predicted
Cancel Serial Number: 94
Original Issue Time: 2025 Dec 07 0443 UTC

Comment: Enhancement from anticipated CME did not occur

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 09.12.2025 12.10 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3574
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 05 1530 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 1040 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Type IV Radio Emission
Publié: 09.12.2025 02.56 UTC
Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 09 0220 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 09.12.2025 02.15 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 09 0152 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 759 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 09.12.2025 02.04 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 09 0141 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 1825 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 08.12.2025 12.37 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3573
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 05 1530 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 1453 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Publié: 08.12.2025 05.13 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 08 0449 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Dec 08 0501 UTC
End Time: 2025 Dec 08 0504 UTC
X-ray Class: X1.1
Location: S18W55
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 08.12.2025 05.02 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 08 0500 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 08.12.2025 00.46 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 08 0017 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 317 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 07.12.2025 21.39 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3572
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 05 1530 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 2135 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 07.12.2025 06.01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 07 0559 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G3 Predicted
Publié: 07.12.2025 04.43 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G3 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Dec 08: G1 (Minor) Dec 09: G3 (Strong) Dec 10: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Comment: Watches for G3 (Strong) on 09 Dec and G1 (Minor) on 10 Dec are in anticipation of CME arrival from the M8 flare at 06/2039 UTC.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 07.12.2025 04.23 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Dec 07 0422 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Dec 07 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Type IV Radio Emission
Publié: 06.12.2025 21.07 UTC
Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 06 2057 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Publié: 06.12.2025 20.57 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 06 2029 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Dec 06 2039 UTC
End Time: 2025 Dec 06 2049 UTC
X-ray Class: M8.1
Optical Class: 2b
Location: N20E01
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Publié: 06.12.2025 20.54 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 06 2035 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Dec 06 2036 UTC
End Time: 2025 Dec 06 2039 UTC
Duration: 4 minutes
Peak Flux: 1100 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 200 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 06.12.2025 20.51 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 06 2040 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 1143 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 06.12.2025 20.41 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 06 2037 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 06.12.2025 12.34 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3571
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 05 1530 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 1426 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 06.12.2025 08.52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5174
Valid From: 2025 Dec 06 0205 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Dec 06 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 06.12.2025 08.37 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Dec 06 0836 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Dec 06 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 06.12.2025 02.58 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 06 0256 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 06.12.2025 02.06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Dec 06 0205 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Dec 06 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 05.12.2025 19.22 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Dec 06: None (Below G1) Dec 07: G1 (Minor) Dec 08: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 05.12.2025 15.45 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 05 1530 UTC
Station: GOES-19

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 04.12.2025 21.29 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Dec 05: None (Below G1) Dec 06: None (Below G1) Dec 07: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 04.12.2025 13.21 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5172
Valid From: 2025 Dec 03 1022 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Dec 05 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 04.12.2025 11.58 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2146
Valid From: 2025 Dec 03 1425 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Dec 05 0000 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Type IV Radio Emission
Publié: 04.12.2025 09.00 UTC
Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 04 0832 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 04.12.2025 08.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 04 0852 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 04.12.2025 04.53 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 04 0445 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Publié: 04.12.2025 03.08 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 04 0236 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Dec 04 0250 UTC
End Time: 2025 Dec 04 0259 UTC
X-ray Class: M6.0
Optical Class: na
Location: N07E50
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 04.12.2025 03.03 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 04 0246 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 345 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 04.12.2025 02.53 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 04 0247 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 04.12.2025 02.50 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 04 0248 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 03.12.2025 23.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2145
Valid From: 2025 Dec 03 1425 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Dec 04 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 03.12.2025 23.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5171
Valid From: 2025 Dec 03 1022 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Dec 04 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 03.12.2025 22.38 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 03 2215 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Publié: 03.12.2025 20.48 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 03 2031 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Publié: 03.12.2025 20.27 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Valid From: 2025 Dec 03 2025 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Dec 03 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G3 or greater

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 03.12.2025 19.58 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 03 1959 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 03.12.2025 19.53 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2025 Dec 03 1952 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Dec 03 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 03.12.2025 19.41 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 03 1941 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 03.12.2025 14.52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 03 1443 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 03.12.2025 14.25 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Dec 03 1425 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Dec 04 0000 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 03.12.2025 14.23 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 03 1419 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 03.12.2025 10.22 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Dec 03 1022 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Dec 03 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 03.12.2025 07.06 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3569
Begin Time: 2025 Nov 25 1450 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 8535 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 02.12.2025 05.01 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3568
Begin Time: 2025 Nov 25 1450 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 8521 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Publié: 01.12.2025 21.19 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Dec 02: None (Below G1) Dec 03: G2 (Moderate) Dec 04: G2 (Moderate)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Comment: There is a chance geomagnetic storming could reach G3 (Moderate) levels late 03 Dec, into early 04 Dec.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 01.12.2025 04.59 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3567
Begin Time: 2025 Nov 25 1450 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 8310 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 01.12.2025 04.03 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 01 0319 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 490 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Publié: 01.12.2025 03.14 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 01 0227 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Dec 01 0249 UTC
End Time: 2025 Dec 01 0305 UTC
X-ray Class: X1.9
Location: N22E85
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 01.12.2025 02.56 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Dec 01 0243 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 988 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 01.12.2025 02.41 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 01 0240 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 01.12.2025 01.01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Dec 01 0100 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 01.12.2025 00.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Dec 01 0053 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Dec 01 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 30.11.2025 04.59 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3566
Begin Time: 2025 Nov 25 1450 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 23005 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 29.11.2025 23.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5168
Valid From: 2025 Nov 24 0226 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Nov 30 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Publié: 29.11.2025 20.57 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2025 Nov 29 2011 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Nov 29 2012 UTC
End Time: 2025 Nov 29 2013 UTC
Duration: 2 minutes
Peak Flux: 170 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 160 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 29.11.2025 11.58 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5167
Valid From: 2025 Nov 24 0226 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Nov 29 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 29.11.2025 05.00 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3565
Begin Time: 2025 Nov 25 1450 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 14759 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Publié: 29.11.2025 02.00 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2025 Nov 29 0143 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Nov 29 0143 UTC
End Time: 2025 Nov 29 0143 UTC
Duration: 1 minutes
Peak Flux: 140 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 138 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 28.11.2025 22.47 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Nov 28 2223 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 828 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Publié: 28.11.2025 22.46 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2025 Nov 28 2211 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Nov 28 2222 UTC
End Time: 2025 Nov 28 2224 UTC
X-ray Class: M5.9
Location: S16E80
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Publié: 28.11.2025 22.35 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2025 Nov 28 2220 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Nov 28 2221 UTC
End Time: 2025 Nov 28 2221 UTC
Duration: 1 minutes
Peak Flux: 240 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 120 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 28.11.2025 22.24 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Nov 28 2222 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 28.11.2025 17.20 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5166
Valid From: 2025 Nov 24 0226 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Nov 29 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 28.11.2025 08.58 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5165
Valid From: 2025 Nov 24 0226 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Nov 28 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 28.11.2025 04.59 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3564
Begin Time: 2025 Nov 25 1450 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 8297 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 27.11.2025 21.18 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5164
Valid From: 2025 Nov 24 0226 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Nov 28 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 27.11.2025 21.11 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Nov 27 2055 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 27.11.2025 21.09 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2143
Valid From: 2025 Nov 27 1108 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Nov 28 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 27.11.2025 12.05 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Nov 27 1159 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 27.11.2025 11.10 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Nov 27 1108 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Nov 27 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 27.11.2025 11.09 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5163
Valid From: 2025 Nov 24 0226 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Nov 27 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 27.11.2025 10.38 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5162
Valid From: 2025 Nov 24 0226 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Nov 27 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 27.11.2025 05.00 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3563
Begin Time: 2025 Nov 25 1450 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 10064 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 26.11.2025 23.22 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5161
Valid From: 2025 Nov 24 0226 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Nov 27 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 26.11.2025 10.45 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5160
Valid From: 2025 Nov 24 0226 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Nov 26 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 26.11.2025 05.01 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3562
Begin Time: 2025 Nov 25 1450 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 3722 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 26.11.2025 00.39 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Nov 26: G1 (Minor) Nov 27: G1 (Minor) Nov 28: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 25.11.2025 23.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5159
Valid From: 2025 Nov 24 0226 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Nov 26 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 25.11.2025 20.53 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Nov 25 1950 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 1050 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 25.11.2025 14.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2141
Valid From: 2025 Nov 25 0211 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Nov 25 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 25.11.2025 14.51 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2025 Nov 25 1450 UTC
Station: GOES19

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 25.11.2025 08.47 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Nov 25 0845 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 25.11.2025 08.24 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2140
Valid From: 2025 Nov 25 0211 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Nov 25 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 25.11.2025 08.23 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5158
Valid From: 2025 Nov 24 0226 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Nov 25 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 25.11.2025 02.24 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Nov 25 0216 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 25.11.2025 02.11 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Nov 25 0211 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Nov 25 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 24.11.2025 23.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5157
Valid From: 2025 Nov 24 0226 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Nov 25 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 24.11.2025 14.07 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Nov 24 1400 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 24.11.2025 13.27 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Nov 24 1330 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Nov 24 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 24.11.2025 11.59 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Nov 24 1159 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 24.11.2025 02.27 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Nov 24 0226 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Nov 24 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 23.11.2025 18.01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Nov 23 1759 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 23.11.2025 17.08 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Nov 23 1708 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Nov 23 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 23.11.2025 16.50 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Nov 24: None (Below G1) Nov 25: G1 (Minor) Nov 26: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 20.11.2025 23.29 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Nov 20 2327 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Nov 21 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 20.11.2025 16.54 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Nov 20 1459 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 1196 km/s

Comment: end time: 1503 UTC.
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 20.11.2025 10.46 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3560
Begin Time: 2025 Nov 19 1310 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 1438 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Type IV Radio Emission
Publié: 20.11.2025 00.59 UTC
Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Nov 20 0023 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 19.11.2025 22.35 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Nov 19 2215 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 695 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 19.11.2025 13.41 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2025 Nov 19 1310 UTC
Station: GOES19

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

Table

Date Radio flux 10.7 cm SESC Le nombre des taches solaires Tache de la zone 10E-6 De nouvelles régions GOES15 X-ray Bkgd flux éclairs
X-ray Optique
C M X S 1 2 3
18-11-2025 120 66 160 2 * 7 0 0 2 0 0 0
19-11-2025 123 60 260 1 * 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
20-11-2025 121 51 320 1 * 8 0 0 1 0 0 0
21-11-2025 121 75 130 2 * 12 0 0 2 0 0 0
22-11-2025 119 74 460 1 * 12 0 0 0 0 0 0
23-11-2025 120 79 240 1 * 9 0 0 1 0 0 0
24-11-2025 116 99 230 1 * 5 0 0 2 0 0 0
25-11-2025 116 99 430 0 * 4 0 0 2 0 0 0
26-11-2025 120 85 520 0 * 7 0 0 6 0 0 0
27-11-2025 120 76 360 0 * 7 0 0 3 0 0 0
28-11-2025 138 87 460 1 * 15 2 0 1 0 0 0
29-11-2025 160 74 1080 0 * 6 5 0 3 1 0 0
30-11-2025 180 108 1880 2 * 14 0 0 3 0 0 0
01-12-2025 196 175 2500 3 * 7 0 1 5 1 0 0
02-12-2025 200 177 2535 1 * 9 0 0 3 0 0 0
03-12-2025 209 227 2475 1 * 9 0 0 2 0 0 0
04-12-2025 220 165 2420 0 * 7 1 0 6 1 0 0
05-12-2025 206 133 2100 1 * 13 0 0 12 0 0 0
06-12-2025 200 129 1940 0 * 10 2 0 7 2 1 0
07-12-2025 194 133 1870 1 * 18 1 0 14 0 0 0
08-12-2025 186 146 1550 1 * 12 4 1 16 2 2 0
09-12-2025 183 134 1410 1 * 9 5 0 11 2 0 0
10-12-2025 168 134 1450 0 * 15 5 0 15 2 1 0
11-12-2025 146 123 1500 2 * 12 0 0 2 0 0 0
12-12-2025 135 124 1490 1 * 7 2 0 1 0 0 0
13-12-2025 122 76 590 0 * 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
14-12-2025 119 78 230 1 * 6 0 0 1 0 0 0
15-12-2025 118 73 230 1 * 7 0 0 1 0 0 0
16-12-2025 117 81 220 1 * 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
17-12-2025 119 68 270 0 * 3 0 0 1 0 0 0
Moyenne/Total 150 107 1044 27 266 27 2 123 11 4 0

Graphique de synthèse

éclairs

Solar wind

Solar Wind

Le vent solaire est un flux de plasma libéré de la haute atmosphère du Soleil. Il se compose principalement d'électrons, de protons et de particules alpha avec des énergies généralement comprises entre 1,5 et 10 keV. Le flux de particules varie en densité, température et vitesse dans le temps et sur la longitude solaire. Ces particules peuvent échapper à la gravité du Soleil en raison de leur haute énergie, de la température élevée de la couronne et des phénomènes magnétiques, électriques et électromagnétiques qu'elle contient.

Le vent solaire est divisé en deux composantes, respectivement appelées le vent solaire lent et le vent solaire rapide. Le vent solaire lent a une vitesse d'environ 400 km / s, une température de 1,4–1,6 × 10e6 K et une composition proche de la couronne. En revanche, le vent solaire rapide a une vitesse typique de 750 km / s, une température de 8 × 10e5 K et il correspond presque à la composition de la photosphère du Soleil. Le vent solaire lent est deux fois plus dense et plus variable en intensité que le vent solaire rapide. Le vent lent a également une structure plus complexe, avec des régions turbulentes et des structures à grande échelle.

Solar radio flux at 10.7 cm

Solar radio flux at 10.7 cm

Le flux radioélectrique solaire à 10,7 cm (2800 MHz) est un excellent indicateur de l'activité solaire. Souvent appelé indice F10.7, c'est l'un des enregistrements les plus anciens d'activité solaire. Les émissions radio F10.7 proviennent de haut dans la chromosphère et bas dans la couronne de l'atmosphère solaire. Le F10.7 est bien corrélé avec le nombre de taches solaires ainsi qu'avec un certain nombre d'enregistrements d'irradiance solaire UltraViolet (UV) et visible. Rapporté en «unités de flux solaire» (s.f.u.), le F10.7 peut varier de moins de 50 s.f.u., à plus de 300 s.f.u., au cours d'un cycle solaire.

Flares

Flares

Une éruption solaire est un éclair soudain de luminosité observé à la surface du Soleil ou sur le flanc solaire, qui est interprété comme une importante libération d'énergie allant jusqu'à 6 × 10e25 joules d'énergie. Ils sont souvent, mais pas toujours, suivis d'une éjection de masse coronale colossale. La fusée éjecte des nuages ​​d'électrons, d'ions et d'atomes à travers la couronne du soleil dans l'espace. Ces nuages ​​atteignent généralement la Terre un jour ou deux après l'événement.

Les éruptions solaires affectent toutes les couches de l'atmosphère solaire (photosphère, chromosphère et couronne), lorsque le milieu plasma est chauffé à des dizaines de millions de kelvin, tandis que les électrons, les protons et les ions plus lourds sont accélérés à près de la vitesse de la lumière. Ils produisent un rayonnement à travers le spectre électromagnétique à toutes les longueurs d'onde, des ondes radio aux rayons gamma, bien que la plupart de l'énergie soit répartie sur des fréquences en dehors de la plage visuelle et pour cette raison, la majorité des fusées éclairantes ne sont pas visibles à l'œil nu et doivent être observé avec des instruments spéciaux. Les éruptions se produisent dans les régions actives autour des taches solaires, où des champs magnétiques intenses pénètrent dans la photosphère pour relier la couronne à l'intérieur solaire. Les fusées éclairantes sont alimentées par la libération soudaine (de quelques minutes à des dizaines de minutes) d'énergie magnétique stockée dans la couronne. Les mêmes rejets d'énergie peuvent produire des éjections de masse coronale (CME), bien que la relation entre les CME et les éruptions ne soit pas encore bien établie.

La fréquence d'apparition des éruptions solaires varie, de plusieurs par jour lorsque le Soleil est particulièrement «actif» à moins d'une par semaine lorsque le Soleil est «calme», suivant le cycle de 11 ans (le cycle solaire). Les grosses fusées éclairantes sont moins fréquentes que les plus petites.

Classification

Les éruptions solaires sont classées comme A, B, C, M ou X selon le flux de pointe (en watts par mètre carré, W / m2) de rayons X de 100 à 800 picomètres près de la Terre, tel que mesuré sur le vaisseau spatial GOES.

Classification Peak Flux Range at 100-800 picometer
W/m2
A < 10e-7
B 10e-7 to 10e-6
C 10e-6 to 10e-5
M 10e-5 to 10e-4
X 10e-4 to 10e-3
Z > 10e-3

An earlier flare classification is based on Hα spectral observations. The scheme uses both the intensity and emitting surface. The classification in intensity is qualitative, referring to the flares as: (f)aint, (n)ormal or (b)rilliant. The emitting surface is measured in terms of millionths of the hemisphere and is described below. (The total hemisphere area AH = 6.2 × 1012 km2.)

Classification Corrected area
(millionths of hemisphere)
S < 100
1 100 - 250
2 250 - 600
3 600 - 1200
4 > 1200

Sunspot number

Sunspots

Les taches solaires sont des phénomènes temporaires sur la photosphère du Soleil qui apparaissent visiblement comme des taches sombres par rapport aux régions environnantes. Ils correspondent à des concentrations de champ magnétique qui inhibent la convection et entraînent une température de surface réduite par rapport à la photosphère environnante. Les taches solaires apparaissent généralement par paires, avec des membres de paires de polarité magnétique opposée. Le nombre de taches solaires varie en fonction du cycle solaire d'environ 11 ans.

Les populations de taches solaires augmentent rapidement et diminuent plus lentement selon un cycle irrégulier de 11 ans, bien que des variations significatives du nombre de taches solaires observant la période de 11 ans soient connues sur des périodes plus longues. Par exemple, de 1900 aux années 1960, la tendance des maxima solaires du nombre de taches solaires a été à la hausse; des années 1960 à nos jours, il a quelque peu diminué. Au cours des dernières décennies, le Soleil a eu un niveau moyen d'activité des taches solaires nettement élevé; il était également actif pour la dernière fois il y a plus de 8 000 ans.

Le nombre de taches solaires est en corrélation avec l'intensité du rayonnement solaire au cours de la période depuis 1979, lorsque les mesures par satellite du flux radiatif absolu sont devenues disponibles. Étant donné que les taches solaires sont plus sombres que la photosphère environnante, on peut s'attendre à ce que plus de taches solaires conduisent à moins de rayonnement solaire et à une constante solaire diminuée. Cependant, les marges environnantes des taches solaires sont plus lumineuses que la moyenne et sont donc plus chaudes; Dans l'ensemble, plus de taches solaires augmentent la constante solaire ou la luminosité du Soleil. La variation causée par le cycle des taches solaires à la production solaire est relativement faible, de l'ordre de 0,1% de la constante solaire (une plage pic à creux de 1,3 W / m2 contre 1366 W / m2 pour la constante solaire moyenne).

K-indices



Aujourd’hui


0h
UTC
3h
UTC
6h
UTC
9h
UTC
12h
UTC
15h
UTC
18h
UTC
21h
UTC
4. 33 2. 67 3.



Data


Estimated Planetary

Estimated Planetary

Date A K-indices (UTC)
0h 3h 6h 9h 12h 15h 18h 21h
19-11-2025 3 0. 67 0. 33 1.
20-11-2025 7 0. 67 2. 00 1.
21-11-2025 8 3. 00 2. 67 0.
22-11-2025 6 2. 67 1. 00 1.
23-11-2025 13 3. 00 1. 67 1.
24-11-2025 22 3. 33 3. 00 3.
25-11-2025 32 4. 67 4. 33 5.
26-11-2025 23 3. 33 4. 00 4.
27-11-2025 27 3. 00 3. 33 4.
28-11-2025 22 3. 67 3. 33 4.
29-11-2025 20 2. 67 3. 00 4.
30-11-2025 16 4. 00 4. 00 2.
01-12-2025 10 4. 00 1. 00 1.
02-12-2025 9 2. 33 2. 67 1.
03-12-2025 33 1. 67 2. 67 2.
04-12-2025 32 5. 00 5. 00 4.
05-12-2025 13 3. 33 3. 33 3.
06-12-2025 16 3. 67 3. 33 4.
07-12-2025 9 2. 67 3. 67 3.
08-12-2025 2 0. 33 0. 67 0.
09-12-2025 5 2. 33 0. 67 1.
10-12-2025 21 2. 67 2. 00 3.
11-12-2025 26 5. 67 4. 67 2.
12-12-2025 28 4. 00 4. 00 3.
13-12-2025 14 4. 67 2. 00 2.
14-12-2025 7 2. 67 2. 33 1.
15-12-2025 6 0. 67 0. 33 1.
16-12-2025 12 3. 33 2. 67 2.
17-12-2025 18 2. 67 3. 00 3.
18-12-2025 21 4. 33 2. 67 3.

Middle Latitude

Date A K-indices
19-11-2025 2 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1
20-11-2025 6 0 2 2 1 1 3 1 2
21-11-2025 5 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 1
22-11-2025 3 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 2
23-11-2025 8 2 1 1 2 3 3 2 2
24-11-2025 15 3 2 2 3 4 3 3 3
25-11-2025 17 3 3 4 3 4 3 3 2
26-11-2025 15 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
27-11-2025 23 2 3 4 5 4 3 4 3
28-11-2025 16 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 2
29-11-2025 12 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2
30-11-2025 14 4 4 1 3 2 2 3 2
01-12-2025 9 4 0 1 2 2 3 2 1
02-12-2025 5 1 2 0 2 2 1 2 2
03-12-2025 20 1 2 1 4 4 3 5 4
04-12-2025 24 5 5 3 3 3 4 3 2
05-12-2025 10 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
06-12-2025 15 4 3 4 3 3 2 2 2
07-12-2025 5 2 3 2 2 1 1 0 0
08-12-2025 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
09-12-2025 4 2 0 1 0 2 2 1 1
10-12-2025 16 2 1 2 2 2 1 3 6
11-12-2025 17 4 4 2 2 2 4 4 1
12-12-2025 19 3 4 2 3 3 3 4 4
13-12-2025 8 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
14-12-2025 5 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1
15-12-2025 5 0 0 2 1 3 2 1 1
16-12-2025 6 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 1
17-12-2025 10 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 3
18-12-2025 4 2 3

High Latitude

Date A K-indices
19-11-2025 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
20-11-2025 4 0 1 2 1 0 1 1 3
21-11-2025 9 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 1
22-11-2025 4 1 1 0 0 3 1 1 1
23-11-2025 26 2 1 1 6 6 3 3 1
24-11-2025 44 1 3 3 5 6 6 6 4
25-11-2025 61 4 4 6 7 6 6 4 4
26-11-2025 43 3 4 6 5 6 5 4 3
27-11-2025 62 3 3 6 7 7 5 4 4
28-11-2025 48 3 4 6 6 5 6 5 2
29-11-2025 44 3 3 6 5 6 6 3 3
30-11-2025 18 3 3 2 5 3 3 3 3
01-12-2025 12 2 1 2 4 4 3 2 1
02-12-2025 9 2 1 0 4 3 2 2 1
03-12-2025 45 0 1 2 6 6 6 6 4
04-12-2025 57 4 5 6 6 6 6 5 3
05-12-2025 21 2 2 5 5 3 3 3 3
06-12-2025 30 2 4 6 5 4 4 3 2
07-12-2025 4 1 2 2 3 1 0 0 0
08-12-2025 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
09-12-2025 5 0 0 1 3 2 2 2 0
10-12-2025 19 0 2 3 4 4 3 3 5
11-12-2025 23 5 4 2 2 3 4 5 2
12-12-2025 52 4 4 5 6 5 6 6 4
13-12-2025 18 3 1 2 3 4 3 5 3
14-12-2025 6 2 2 1 2 3 1 1 0
15-12-2025 9 0 0 2 2 5 2 0 0
16-12-2025 12 1 2 2 4 3 3 3 2
17-12-2025 17 3 2 3 3 4 3 3 4
18-12-2025 4 2 6

About

The K-index quantifies disturbances in the horizontal component of earth's magnetic field with an integer in the range 0–9 with 1 being calm and 5 or more indicating a geomagnetic storm. It is derived from the maximum fluctuations of horizontal components observed on a magnetometer during a three-hour interval. The label K comes from the German word Kennziffer meaning “characteristic digit”. The K-index was introduced by Julius Bartels in 1938.

The Estimated 3-hour Planetary Kp-index is derived at the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center using data from the following ground-based magnetometers:

  • Sitka, Alaska
  • Meanook, Canada
  • Ottawa, Canada
  • Fredericksburg, Virginia
  • Hartland, UK
  • Wingst, Germany
  • Niemegk, Germany
  • Canberra, Australia

These data are made available thanks to the cooperative efforts between SWPC and data providers around the world, which currently includes the U.S. Geological Survey, Natural Resources Canada (NRCAN), the British Geological Survey, the German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ), and Geoscience Australia. Important magnetometer observations are also contributed by the Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris and the Korean Space Weather Center K-index Watches are issued when the highest predicted NOAA estimated Kp-indices for a day are K = 5, 6, 7, or >= 8 and is reported in terms of the NOAA G scale. K-index Warnings are issued when NOAA estimated Kp-indices of 4, 5, 6, and 7 or greater are expected. K-index Alerts are issued when the NOAA estimated Kp-indices reach 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, or 9.


More info
Source de données: NOAA, Wikipedia

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