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La vitesse du vent solaire Vent solaire champs magnétiques Flux radio 10,7 cm à midi
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SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Issued: 27.07.2024 06.04 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 27 0537 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Jul 27 0539 UTC
End Time: 2024 Jul 27 0543 UTC
Duration: 6 minutes
Peak Flux: 320 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 176 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Issued: 27.07.2024 06.00 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 27 0434 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 251 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Issued: 27.07.2024 05.00 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 27 0433 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 1046 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 26.07.2024 15.59 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2024 Jul 26 1559 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Jul 26 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 26.07.2024 14.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2024 Jul 26 1450 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 26.07.2024 14.34 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Jul 26 1434 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Jul 26 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 26.07.2024 05.44 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Jul 26 0541 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 26.07.2024 04.09 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2024 Jul 26 0400 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 26.07.2024 04.02 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2024 Jul 26 0402 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Jul 26 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 26.07.2024 02.30 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4646
Valid From: 2024 Jul 25 2015 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Jul 26 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 26.07.2024 01.21 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2024 Jul 26 0120 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 25.07.2024 20.15 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Jul 25 2015 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Jul 26 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 25.07.2024 16.29 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 25 1535 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 749 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

SUMMARY
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Publié: 25.07.2024 14.54 UTC
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Observed: 2024 Jul 25 1422 UTC
Deviation: 8 nT
Station: BOU

WARNING
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Publié: 25.07.2024 13.51 UTC
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2024 Jul 25 1348 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Jul 25 1425 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2024 Jul 25 1315 UTC

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 25.07.2024 12.49 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 25 1234 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 775 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 24.07.2024 19.16 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 24 1816 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 687 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 24.07.2024 18.19 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Jul 25: None (Below G1) Jul 26: None (Below G1) Jul 27: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 24.07.2024 17.46 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 24 1726 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 457 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

CANCEL WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 24.07.2024 11.13 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Cancel Serial Number: 571
Original Issue Time: 2024 Jul 23 0156 UTC

Comment: Conditions for this warning are no longer present

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

SUMMARY
Proton Event 100MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1pfu
Publié: 24.07.2024 08.50 UTC
Proton Event 100MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1pfu
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 23 0205 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Jul 23 0430 UTC
End Time: 2024 Jul 23 1510 UTC
Maximum 100MeV Flux: 1 pfu

SUMMARY
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Publié: 24.07.2024 08.50 UTC
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 23 0300 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Jul 23 1040 UTC
End Time: 2024 Jul 23 2350 UTC
Maximum 10MeV Flux: 24 pfu
NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

ALERT
Type IV Radio Emission
Publié: 24.07.2024 08.08 UTC
Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 24 0744 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 24.07.2024 07.57 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 24 0744 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 407 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

CANCEL WARNING
Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
Publié: 24.07.2024 02.03 UTC
Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
Cancel Serial Number: 108
Original Issue Time: 2024 Jul 23 0140 UTC

Comment: Conditions have dropped below threshold.

Potential Impacts: An enhancement in the energetic portion of the solar radiation spectrum may indicate increased biological risk to astronauts or passengers and crew in high latitude, high altitude flights. Additionally, energetic particles may represent an increased risk to all satellite systems susceptible to single event effects. This information should be used in conjunction with the current Solar Radiation Storm conditions when assessing overall impact.

EXTENDED WARNING
Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
Publié: 23.07.2024 19.30 UTC
Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 107
Valid From: 2024 Jul 23 0140 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Jul 24 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: persistence

Potential Impacts: An enhancement in the energetic portion of the solar radiation spectrum may indicate increased biological risk to astronauts or passengers and crew in high latitude, high altitude flights. Additionally, energetic particles may represent an increased risk to all satellite systems susceptible to single event effects. This information should be used in conjunction with the current Solar Radiation Storm conditions when assessing overall impact.

EXTENDED WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 23.07.2024 19.29 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 570
Valid From: 2024 Jul 23 0155 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Jul 24 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: persistence
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 23.07.2024 14.33 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 23 1411 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 457 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

EXTENDED WARNING
Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
Publié: 23.07.2024 10.24 UTC
Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 106
Valid From: 2024 Jul 23 0140 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Jul 23 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: persistence

Potential Impacts: An enhancement in the energetic portion of the solar radiation spectrum may indicate increased biological risk to astronauts or passengers and crew in high latitude, high altitude flights. Additionally, energetic particles may represent an increased risk to all satellite systems susceptible to single event effects. This information should be used in conjunction with the current Solar Radiation Storm conditions when assessing overall impact.

EXTENDED WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 23.07.2024 10.24 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 569
Valid From: 2024 Jul 23 0155 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Jul 23 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: persistence
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

ALERT
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Publié: 23.07.2024 03.07 UTC
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 23 0306 UTC
NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

ALERT
Proton Event 100MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1pfu
Publié: 23.07.2024 02.12 UTC
Proton Event 100MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1pfu
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 23 0211 UTC

Potential Impacts: An enhancement in the energetic portion of the solar radiation spectrum may indicate increased biological risk to astronauts or passengers and crew in high latitude, high altitude flights. Additionally, energetic particles may represent an increased risk to all satellite systems susceptible to single event effects. This information should be used in conjunction with the current Solar Radiation Storm conditions when assessing overall impact.

WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 23.07.2024 01.56 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Valid From: 2024 Jul 23 0155 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Jul 23 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

WARNING
Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
Publié: 23.07.2024 01.40 UTC
Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
Valid From: 2024 Jul 23 0140 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Jul 23 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: An enhancement in the energetic portion of the solar radiation spectrum may indicate increased biological risk to astronauts or passengers and crew in high latitude, high altitude flights. Additionally, energetic particles may represent an increased risk to all satellite systems susceptible to single event effects. This information should be used in conjunction with the current Solar Radiation Storm conditions when assessing overall impact.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 22.07.2024 11.40 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Jul 22 1139 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Jul 22 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 22.07.2024 09.44 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 22 0926 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 536 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Publié: 22.07.2024 06.26 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Jul 22: None (Below G1) Jul 23: None (Below G1) Jul 24: G2 (Moderate)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

CANCEL WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 21.07.2024 18.05 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Cancel Serial Number: 1004
Original Issue Time: 2024 Jul 18 1845 UTC

Comment: G1 (Minor) conditions are no longer anticipated.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Publié: 19.07.2024 18.16 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 19 1801 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Jul 19 1802 UTC
End Time: 2024 Jul 19 1803 UTC
Duration: 2 minutes
Peak Flux: 470 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 209 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 18.07.2024 18.45 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Jul 19: None (Below G1) Jul 20: None (Below G1) Jul 21: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Type IV Radio Emission
Publié: 17.07.2024 07.58 UTC
Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 17 0722 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 17.07.2024 07.20 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 17 0700 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 334 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Publié: 17.07.2024 07.14 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 17 0626 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Jul 17 0639 UTC
End Time: 2024 Jul 17 0701 UTC
X-ray Class: M5.0
Optical Class: 2b
Location: S08W30
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 17.07.2024 07.02 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 17 0641 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 389 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Publié: 17.07.2024 06.55 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 17 0634 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Jul 17 0635 UTC
End Time: 2024 Jul 17 0637 UTC
Duration: 3 minutes
Peak Flux: 560 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 242 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 17.07.2024 06.41 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Jul 17 0638 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

ALERT
Type IV Radio Emission
Publié: 16.07.2024 23.05 UTC
Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 16 2220 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 16.07.2024 22.30 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 16 2208 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 633 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
Type IV Radio Emission
Publié: 16.07.2024 14.09 UTC
Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 16 1338 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 16.07.2024 13.59 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 16 1321 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 516 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Publié: 16.07.2024 13.46 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 16 1311 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Jul 16 1326 UTC
End Time: 2024 Jul 16 1336 UTC
X-ray Class: X1.9
Location: S05W85
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Publié: 16.07.2024 13.40 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 16 1318 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Jul 16 1320 UTC
End Time: 2024 Jul 16 1326 UTC
Duration: 8 minutes
Peak Flux: 550 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 233 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 16.07.2024 13.23 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Jul 16 1320 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Publié: 14.07.2024 03.03 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 14 0233 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Jul 14 0234 UTC
End Time: 2024 Jul 14 0248 UTC
X-ray Class: X1.2
Location: S09W40
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Publié: 14.07.2024 02.51 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 14 0231 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Jul 14 0232 UTC
End Time: 2024 Jul 14 0235 UTC
Duration: 4 minutes
Peak Flux: 380 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 238 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 14.07.2024 02.34 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Jul 14 0233 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Publié: 13.07.2024 23.30 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 13 2244 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Jul 13 2301 UTC
End Time: 2024 Jul 13 2312 UTC
X-ray Class: M5.0
Location: S09W40
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 13.07.2024 23.04 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Jul 13 2302 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Publié: 13.07.2024 13.25 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 13 1221 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Jul 13 1242 UTC
End Time: 2024 Jul 13 1258 UTC
X-ray Class: M5.3
Location: S07W41
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 13.07.2024 12.57 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 13 1242 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 295 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 13.07.2024 12.41 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Jul 13 1237 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 11.07.2024 00.05 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Jul 12: None (Below G1) Jul 13: G1 (Minor) Jul 14: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 04.07.2024 20.30 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 04 2007 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 387 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 04.07.2024 15.28 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 04 1427 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 815 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 03.07.2024 18.59 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2024 Jul 03 1840 UTC
Station: GOES16

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 03.07.2024 09.03 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Jul 03 0742 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 1254 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 01.07.2024 18.26 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Jul 02: None (Below G1) Jul 03: G1 (Minor) Jul 04: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 30.06.2024 17.14 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Jun 30 1710 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Jun 30 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 29.06.2024 08.59 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4642
Valid From: 2024 Jun 27 2153 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Jun 29 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 28.06.2024 20.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4641
Valid From: 2024 Jun 27 2153 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Jun 29 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 28.06.2024 20.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1893
Valid From: 2024 Jun 28 0150 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Jun 29 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 28.06.2024 19.15 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Jun 28 1915 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 28.06.2024 15.22 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Jun 28 1520 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 8, 9-
Publié: 28.06.2024 14.18 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 8, 9-
Threshold Reached: 2024 Jun 28 1415 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G4 - Severe

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 45 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Possible widespread voltage control problems and some protective systems may mistakenly trip out key assets from the power grid. Induced pipeline currents intensify.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low earth orbit satellites, and tracking and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Satellite navigation (GPS) degraded or inoperable for hours.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation sporadic or blacked out.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Alabama and northern California.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 28.06.2024 13.35 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 530
Valid From: 2024 Jun 28 1135 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Jun 28 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Publié: 28.06.2024 13.28 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2024 Jun 28 1327 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Publié: 28.06.2024 13.24 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Valid From: 2024 Jun 28 1325 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Jun 28 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G3 or greater

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 28.06.2024 13.11 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2024 Jun 28 1310 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 28.06.2024 12.21 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Jun 28 1220 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 28.06.2024 11.47 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2024 Jun 28 1147 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 28.06.2024 11.36 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2024 Jun 28 1135 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Jun 28 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 28.06.2024 11.36 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1892
Valid From: 2024 Jun 28 0150 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Jun 28 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 28.06.2024 11.36 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4640
Valid From: 2024 Jun 27 2153 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Jun 28 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 28.06.2024 11.25 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Jun 28 1125 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Publié: 28.06.2024 09.26 UTC
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2024 Jun 28 1005 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Jun 28 1035 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2024 Jun 28 0912 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 28.06.2024 05.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4639
Valid From: 2024 Jun 27 2153 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Jun 28 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 28.06.2024 05.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1891
Valid From: 2024 Jun 28 0150 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Jun 28 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 28.06.2024 02.21 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2024 Jun 28 0202 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 28.06.2024 01.51 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2024 Jun 28 0150 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Jun 28 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 27.06.2024 21.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Jun 27 2153 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Jun 28 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

Table

Date Radio flux 10.7 cm SESC Le nombre des taches solaires Tache de la zone 10E-6 De nouvelles régions GOES15 X-ray Bkgd flux éclairs
X-ray Optique
C M X S 1 2 3
27-06-2024 183 146 820 1 * 12 0 0 5 0 0 0
28-06-2024 181 162 1320 2 * 8 0 0 10 0 0 0
29-06-2024 186 205 1250 3 * 7 0 0 2 0 0 0
30-06-2024 174 199 1150 0 * 7 0 0 6 0 0 0
01-07-2024 171 192 880 0 * 8 1 0 12 1 0 0
02-07-2024 164 192 690 0 * 11 0 0 1 0 0 0
03-07-2024 167 182 670 1 * 6 1 0 7 2 0 0
04-07-2024 173 113 730 1 * 6 2 0 5 0 0 0
05-07-2024 166 111 990 1 * 9 0 0 4 0 0 0
06-07-2024 166 132 870 2 * 6 1 0 14 0 0 0
07-07-2024 171 119 650 1 * 8 5 0 18 0 0 0
08-07-2024 169 95 470 1 * 16 1 0 15 0 0 0
09-07-2024 180 143 570 2 * 7 0 0 13 0 0 0
10-07-2024 214 190 1270 1 * 7 5 0 19 3 0 0
11-07-2024 205 188 1440 2 * 5 2 0 11 3 0 0
12-07-2024 210 162 1740 1 * 5 0 0 10 0 0 0
13-07-2024 238 214 1960 3 * 5 6 0 17 2 1 0
14-07-2024 234 217 2050 1 * 12 4 1 34 3 0 0
15-07-2024 233 205 1890 2 * 5 3 0 20 1 0 0
16-07-2024 242 250 1540 3 * 3 4 1 7 6 0 0
17-07-2024 224 275 1190 2 * 4 5 0 11 1 1 0
18-07-2024 209 276 1230 1 * 12 2 0 20 1 0 0
19-07-2024 202 269 1040 1 * 6 3 0 16 2 1 0
20-07-2024 207 212 1160 1 * 8 2 0 20 2 0 0
21-07-2024 198 200 1360 0 * 15 4 0 15 1 0 0
22-07-2024 185 173 1080 2 * 15 5 0 18 1 0 0
23-07-2024 176 167 1175 1 * 4 1 0 12 1 0 0
24-07-2024 175 160 880 1 * 7 2 0 8 1 1 0
25-07-2024 167 171 730 1 * 9 1 0 11 2 0 0
26-07-2024 176 181 1060 2 * 7 1 0 16 0 0 0
Moyenne/Total 192 183 1129 40 240 61 2 377 33 4 0

Graphique de synthèse

éclairs

Solar wind

Solar Wind

Le vent solaire est un flux de plasma libéré de la haute atmosphère du Soleil. Il se compose principalement d'électrons, de protons et de particules alpha avec des énergies généralement comprises entre 1,5 et 10 keV. Le flux de particules varie en densité, température et vitesse dans le temps et sur la longitude solaire. Ces particules peuvent échapper à la gravité du Soleil en raison de leur haute énergie, de la température élevée de la couronne et des phénomènes magnétiques, électriques et électromagnétiques qu'elle contient.

Le vent solaire est divisé en deux composantes, respectivement appelées le vent solaire lent et le vent solaire rapide. Le vent solaire lent a une vitesse d'environ 400 km / s, une température de 1,4–1,6 × 10e6 K et une composition proche de la couronne. En revanche, le vent solaire rapide a une vitesse typique de 750 km / s, une température de 8 × 10e5 K et il correspond presque à la composition de la photosphère du Soleil. Le vent solaire lent est deux fois plus dense et plus variable en intensité que le vent solaire rapide. Le vent lent a également une structure plus complexe, avec des régions turbulentes et des structures à grande échelle.

Solar radio flux at 10.7 cm

Solar radio flux at 10.7 cm

Le flux radioélectrique solaire à 10,7 cm (2800 MHz) est un excellent indicateur de l'activité solaire. Souvent appelé indice F10.7, c'est l'un des enregistrements les plus anciens d'activité solaire. Les émissions radio F10.7 proviennent de haut dans la chromosphère et bas dans la couronne de l'atmosphère solaire. Le F10.7 est bien corrélé avec le nombre de taches solaires ainsi qu'avec un certain nombre d'enregistrements d'irradiance solaire UltraViolet (UV) et visible. Rapporté en «unités de flux solaire» (s.f.u.), le F10.7 peut varier de moins de 50 s.f.u., à plus de 300 s.f.u., au cours d'un cycle solaire.

Flares

Flares

Une éruption solaire est un éclair soudain de luminosité observé à la surface du Soleil ou sur le flanc solaire, qui est interprété comme une importante libération d'énergie allant jusqu'à 6 × 10e25 joules d'énergie. Ils sont souvent, mais pas toujours, suivis d'une éjection de masse coronale colossale. La fusée éjecte des nuages ​​d'électrons, d'ions et d'atomes à travers la couronne du soleil dans l'espace. Ces nuages ​​atteignent généralement la Terre un jour ou deux après l'événement.

Les éruptions solaires affectent toutes les couches de l'atmosphère solaire (photosphère, chromosphère et couronne), lorsque le milieu plasma est chauffé à des dizaines de millions de kelvin, tandis que les électrons, les protons et les ions plus lourds sont accélérés à près de la vitesse de la lumière. Ils produisent un rayonnement à travers le spectre électromagnétique à toutes les longueurs d'onde, des ondes radio aux rayons gamma, bien que la plupart de l'énergie soit répartie sur des fréquences en dehors de la plage visuelle et pour cette raison, la majorité des fusées éclairantes ne sont pas visibles à l'œil nu et doivent être observé avec des instruments spéciaux. Les éruptions se produisent dans les régions actives autour des taches solaires, où des champs magnétiques intenses pénètrent dans la photosphère pour relier la couronne à l'intérieur solaire. Les fusées éclairantes sont alimentées par la libération soudaine (de quelques minutes à des dizaines de minutes) d'énergie magnétique stockée dans la couronne. Les mêmes rejets d'énergie peuvent produire des éjections de masse coronale (CME), bien que la relation entre les CME et les éruptions ne soit pas encore bien établie.

La fréquence d'apparition des éruptions solaires varie, de plusieurs par jour lorsque le Soleil est particulièrement «actif» à moins d'une par semaine lorsque le Soleil est «calme», suivant le cycle de 11 ans (le cycle solaire). Les grosses fusées éclairantes sont moins fréquentes que les plus petites.

Classification

Les éruptions solaires sont classées comme A, B, C, M ou X selon le flux de pointe (en watts par mètre carré, W / m2) de rayons X de 100 à 800 picomètres près de la Terre, tel que mesuré sur le vaisseau spatial GOES.

Classification Peak Flux Range at 100-800 picometer
W/m2
A < 10e-7
B 10e-7 to 10e-6
C 10e-6 to 10e-5
M 10e-5 to 10e-4
X 10e-4 to 10e-3
Z > 10e-3

An earlier flare classification is based on Hα spectral observations. The scheme uses both the intensity and emitting surface. The classification in intensity is qualitative, referring to the flares as: (f)aint, (n)ormal or (b)rilliant. The emitting surface is measured in terms of millionths of the hemisphere and is described below. (The total hemisphere area AH = 6.2 × 1012 km2.)

Classification Corrected area
(millionths of hemisphere)
S < 100
1 100 - 250
2 250 - 600
3 600 - 1200
4 > 1200

Sunspot number

Sunspots

Les taches solaires sont des phénomènes temporaires sur la photosphère du Soleil qui apparaissent visiblement comme des taches sombres par rapport aux régions environnantes. Ils correspondent à des concentrations de champ magnétique qui inhibent la convection et entraînent une température de surface réduite par rapport à la photosphère environnante. Les taches solaires apparaissent généralement par paires, avec des membres de paires de polarité magnétique opposée. Le nombre de taches solaires varie en fonction du cycle solaire d'environ 11 ans.

Les populations de taches solaires augmentent rapidement et diminuent plus lentement selon un cycle irrégulier de 11 ans, bien que des variations significatives du nombre de taches solaires observant la période de 11 ans soient connues sur des périodes plus longues. Par exemple, de 1900 aux années 1960, la tendance des maxima solaires du nombre de taches solaires a été à la hausse; des années 1960 à nos jours, il a quelque peu diminué. Au cours des dernières décennies, le Soleil a eu un niveau moyen d'activité des taches solaires nettement élevé; il était également actif pour la dernière fois il y a plus de 8 000 ans.

Le nombre de taches solaires est en corrélation avec l'intensité du rayonnement solaire au cours de la période depuis 1979, lorsque les mesures par satellite du flux radiatif absolu sont devenues disponibles. Étant donné que les taches solaires sont plus sombres que la photosphère environnante, on peut s'attendre à ce que plus de taches solaires conduisent à moins de rayonnement solaire et à une constante solaire diminuée. Cependant, les marges environnantes des taches solaires sont plus lumineuses que la moyenne et sont donc plus chaudes; Dans l'ensemble, plus de taches solaires augmentent la constante solaire ou la luminosité du Soleil. La variation causée par le cycle des taches solaires à la production solaire est relativement faible, de l'ordre de 0,1% de la constante solaire (une plage pic à creux de 1,3 W / m2 contre 1366 W / m2 pour la constante solaire moyenne).

K-indices



Aujourd’hui


0h
UTC
3h
UTC
6h
UTC
9h
UTC
12h
UTC
15h
UTC
18h
UTC
21h
UTC
1. 67 2. 67 - 1.



Data


Estimated Planetary

Estimated Planetary

Date A K-indices (UTC)
0h 3h 6h 9h 12h 15h 18h 21h
28-06-2024 59 4. 33 4. 33 3.
29-06-2024 14 4. 33 2. 67 2.
30-06-2024 11 2. 67 2. 67 1.
01-07-2024 6 1. 67 1. 67 2.
02-07-2024 5 1. 33 1. 67 1.
03-07-2024 5 2. 00 1. 33 2.
04-07-2024 10 2. 00 2. 33 1.
05-07-2024 8 2. 33 2. 67 1.
06-07-2024 3 1. 00 1. 00 0.
07-07-2024 8 2. 00 1. 67 1.
08-07-2024 10 2. 33 2. 33 2.
09-07-2024 6 2. 00 2. 00 1.
10-07-2024 6 2. 00 1. 67 1.
11-07-2024 6 2. 33 1. 67 1.
12-07-2024 5 2. 33 1. 67 2.
13-07-2024 4 1. 33 1. 00 1.
14-07-2024 5 1. 00 1. 00 1.
15-07-2024 7 1. 33 1. 67 1.
16-07-2024 10 3. 33 2. 00 2.
17-07-2024 5 1. 33 1. 67 2.
18-07-2024 5 1. 00 1. 00 1.
19-07-2024 5 1. 00 1. 33 1.
20-07-2024 7 2. 33 2. 00 2.
21-07-2024 5 1. 67 1. 00 1.
22-07-2024 9 2. 00 1. 33 2.
23-07-2024 5 1. 00 1. 00 0.
24-07-2024 6 2. 00 1. 67 1.
25-07-2024 9 1. 33 1. 67 1.
26-07-2024 23 3. 67 4. 67 4.
27-07-2024 18 1. 67 2. 67 - 1.

Middle Latitude

Date A K-indices
28-06-2024 32 3 4 3 5 6 4 4 3
29-06-2024 11 3 2 2 3 3 2 3 2
30-06-2024 10 2 3 1 2 3 3 2 2
01-07-2024 5 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1
02-07-2024 6 1 2 1 2 3 1 1 2
03-07-2024 6 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2
04-07-2024 10 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 3
05-07-2024 10 3 3 2 3 3 2 1 1
06-07-2024 4 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1
07-07-2024 7 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 3
08-07-2024 11 2 2 2 3 4 2 2 2
09-07-2024 8 2 2 1 2 3 2 2 2
10-07-2024 8 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2
11-07-2024 7 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
12-07-2024 7 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2
13-07-2024 6 1 1 1 1 3 2 2 1
14-07-2024 9 1 1 1 3 3 2 3 2
15-07-2024 8 1 1 2 1 3 2 2 3
16-07-2024 12 3 2 2 2 4 3 2 2
17-07-2024 7 1 2 2 1 3 2 2 1
18-07-2024 4 0 0 1 2 2 1 2 1
19-07-2024 5 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 2
20-07-2024 8 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2
21-07-2024 9 0 1 0 3 3 2 4 2
22-07-2024 9 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2
23-07-2024 8 1 1 1 3 3 2 3 1
24-07-2024 8 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2
25-07-2024 9 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 3
26-07-2024 23 3 5 4 3 4 4 3 2
27-07-2024 2 3

High Latitude

Date A K-indices
28-06-2024 36 4 4 4 6 5 4 4 4
29-06-2024 19 4 2 2 4 4 4 3 3
30-06-2024 17 3 2 2 3 4 5 2 2
01-07-2024 14 2 3 4 4 3 3 1 1
02-07-2024 4 2 2 1 0 2 0 1 1
03-07-2024 3 2 2 1 0 1 0 1 1
04-07-2024 15 2 2 2 1 4 5 3 1
05-07-2024 7 2 3 2 2 2 1 1 1
06-07-2024 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1
07-07-2024 5 2 2 2 0 1 1 2 2
08-07-2024 14 3 2 2 5 3 2 2 2
09-07-2024 9 2 2 1 4 3 1 1 1
10-07-2024 5 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1
11-07-2024 4 1 2 2 0 1 1 1 1
12-07-2024 6 2 2 3 1 1 1 1 1
13-07-2024 2 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1
14-07-2024 2 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 1
15-07-2024 3 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 2
16-07-2024 8 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 2
17-07-2024 7 1 3 2 2 3 2 1 0
18-07-2024 4 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 0
19-07-2024 3 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
20-07-2024 7 2 2 2 3 1 1 2 1
21-07-2024 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 1
22-07-2024 16 2 2 3 5 4 3 2 1
23-07-2024 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1
24-07-2024 4 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1
25-07-2024 7 1 2 1 0 1 2 3 3
26-07-2024 38 4 5 4 5 5 6 3 2
27-07-2024 1 3

About

The K-index quantifies disturbances in the horizontal component of earth's magnetic field with an integer in the range 0–9 with 1 being calm and 5 or more indicating a geomagnetic storm. It is derived from the maximum fluctuations of horizontal components observed on a magnetometer during a three-hour interval. The label K comes from the German word Kennziffer meaning “characteristic digit”. The K-index was introduced by Julius Bartels in 1938.

The Estimated 3-hour Planetary Kp-index is derived at the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center using data from the following ground-based magnetometers:

  • Sitka, Alaska
  • Meanook, Canada
  • Ottawa, Canada
  • Fredericksburg, Virginia
  • Hartland, UK
  • Wingst, Germany
  • Niemegk, Germany
  • Canberra, Australia

These data are made available thanks to the cooperative efforts between SWPC and data providers around the world, which currently includes the U.S. Geological Survey, Natural Resources Canada (NRCAN), the British Geological Survey, the German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ), and Geoscience Australia. Important magnetometer observations are also contributed by the Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris and the Korean Space Weather Center K-index Watches are issued when the highest predicted NOAA estimated Kp-indices for a day are K = 5, 6, 7, or >= 8 and is reported in terms of the NOAA G scale. K-index Warnings are issued when NOAA estimated Kp-indices of 4, 5, 6, and 7 or greater are expected. K-index Alerts are issued when the NOAA estimated Kp-indices reach 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, or 9.


More info
Source de données: NOAA, Wikipedia

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