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WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 19.08.2025 00.41 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Aug 19 0040 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Aug 19 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Issued: 18.08.2025 18.39 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Aug 19: G1 (Minor) Aug 20: G1 (Minor) Aug 21: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Comment: Isolated periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely 19 August due to recurrent, negative polarity CH HSS effects. Isolated periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely again on 20 August with continued CH HSS effects coupled with the possibility of glancing influences from a CME that left the Sun on 17 August.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Issued: 18.08.2025 06.22 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3517
Begin Time: 2025 Aug 10 1145 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 8023 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 17.08.2025 08.27 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3516
Begin Time: 2025 Aug 10 1145 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 9366 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 16.08.2025 16.01 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Aug 17: None (Below G1) Aug 18: None (Below G1) Aug 19: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 16.08.2025 12.06 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Aug 16 1048 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 620 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 16.08.2025 08.33 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3515
Begin Time: 2025 Aug 10 1145 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 4263 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 15.08.2025 08.57 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3514
Begin Time: 2025 Aug 10 1145 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 2590 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 14.08.2025 12.11 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3513
Begin Time: 2025 Aug 10 1145 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 8356 pfu

Comment: The great than 2 MeV electron flux in geosynchronous orbit continues to reach high levels of greater than or equal to 1,000 pfu.
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 14.08.2025 11.51 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5062
Valid From: 2025 Aug 13 2149 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Aug 14 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Comment: High, lattitude areas under nightfall are expcted to continue to experience active geomagnetic conditions until 1500 UTC.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 14.08.2025 02.31 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5061
Valid From: 2025 Aug 13 2149 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Aug 14 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 13.08.2025 21.49 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Aug 13 2149 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Aug 14 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 13.08.2025 05.17 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3512
Begin Time: 2025 Aug 10 1145 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 3163 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 12.08.2025 23.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5059
Valid From: 2025 Aug 08 1415 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Aug 13 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 12.08.2025 14.06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5058
Valid From: 2025 Aug 08 1415 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Aug 13 0000 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 12.08.2025 11.13 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5057
Valid From: 2025 Aug 08 1415 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Aug 12 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 12.08.2025 08.03 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3511
Begin Time: 2025 Aug 10 1145 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 6326 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 12.08.2025 01.44 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5056
Valid From: 2025 Aug 08 1415 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Aug 12 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 11.08.2025 11.11 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5055
Valid From: 2025 Aug 08 1415 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Aug 12 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 11.08.2025 05.39 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3510
Begin Time: 2025 Aug 10 1145 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 3695 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 10.08.2025 15.03 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5054
Valid From: 2025 Aug 08 1415 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Aug 11 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 10.08.2025 12.06 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2025 Aug 10 1145 UTC
Station: GOES19

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 10.08.2025 07.48 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Aug 10 0747 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Aug 10 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 10.08.2025 02.19 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5053
Valid From: 2025 Aug 08 1415 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Aug 10 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 09.08.2025 16.52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2025 Aug 09 1648 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 09.08.2025 16.28 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2025 Aug 09 1628 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Aug 09 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 09.08.2025 16.01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Aug 09 1556 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 09.08.2025 13.30 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Aug 09 1327 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 09.08.2025 10.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Aug 09 1050 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 09.08.2025 08.40 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2085
Valid From: 2025 Aug 08 1430 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Aug 09 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 09.08.2025 08.40 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5052
Valid From: 2025 Aug 08 1415 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Aug 10 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 09.08.2025 08.21 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Aug 09 0824 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 09.08.2025 04.59 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Aug 09 0455 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 09.08.2025 02.30 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Aug 09 0231 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 08.08.2025 20.06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Aug 08 2005 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 08.08.2025 15.00 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Aug 08 1459 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 08.08.2025 14.29 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Aug 08 1430 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Aug 09 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 08.08.2025 14.22 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Aug 08 1420 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 08.08.2025 14.15 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Aug 08 1415 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Aug 09 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Type IV Radio Emission
Publié: 07.08.2025 11.58 UTC
Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Aug 07 1136 UTC

Comment: Likely associated with the M3.9 flare event from AR 4168.
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Publié: 06.08.2025 18.47 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Aug 07: None (Below G1) Aug 08: G2 (Moderate) Aug 09: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

CANCEL WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G3 Predicted
Publié: 06.08.2025 18.46 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G3 Predicted
Cancel Serial Number: 87
Original Issue Time: 2025 Aug 06 1844 UTC

Comment: Error in product

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G3 Predicted
Publié: 06.08.2025 18.44 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G3 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Aug 07: None (Below G1) Aug 08: G2 (Moderate) Aug 09: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Publié: 05.08.2025 20.40 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2025 Aug 05 1550 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 Aug 05 1551 UTC
End Time: 2025 Aug 05 1553 UTC
Duration: 3 minutes
Peak Flux: 200 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 145 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

ALERT
Type IV Radio Emission
Publié: 05.08.2025 16.36 UTC
Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Aug 05 1558 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 05.08.2025 16.36 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 Aug 05 1558 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 865 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 03.08.2025 19.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Aug 03 1955 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 03.08.2025 19.47 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Aug 03 1945 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Aug 04 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 01.08.2025 20.52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5049
Valid From: 2025 Aug 01 1345 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Aug 02 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 01.08.2025 13.44 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Aug 01 1345 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Aug 01 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 01.08.2025 13.31 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3508
Begin Time: 2025 Jul 31 1635 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 1104 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 31.07.2025 16.52 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2025 Jul 31 1635 UTC
Station: GOES19

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 28.07.2025 08.46 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3506
Begin Time: 2025 Jul 24 1320 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 1686 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 27.07.2025 12.52 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3505
Begin Time: 2025 Jul 24 1320 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 2510 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 26.07.2025 17.53 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Jul 26 1750 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 26.07.2025 17.30 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Jul 26 1730 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Jul 27 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 26.07.2025 06.01 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3504
Begin Time: 2025 Jul 24 1320 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 3124 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 25.07.2025 10.05 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3503
Begin Time: 2025 Jul 24 1320 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 2312 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 24.07.2025 19.47 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Jul 25: None (Below G1) Jul 26: None (Below G1) Jul 27: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Comment: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is likely on 27 July due to CME effects from an event that left the Sun on 23 July.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 24.07.2025 17.47 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5046
Valid From: 2025 Jul 24 1038 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Jul 25 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 24.07.2025 13.34 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2025 Jul 24 1320 UTC
Station: GOES19

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 24.07.2025 11.51 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Jul 24 1144 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 24.07.2025 10.38 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Jul 24 1038 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Jul 24 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 23.07.2025 19.05 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Jul 24: G1 (Minor) Jul 25: None (Below G1) Jul 26: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Comment: Isolated periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming are likely primarily early on 24 July under sustained CH HSS effects.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 23.07.2025 18.05 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5044
Valid From: 2025 Jul 23 1137 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Jul 24 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Comment: Active conditions are expected to continue through the early periods of 24 Jul under negative polarity CH HSS effects.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 23.07.2025 15.04 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Jul 23 1459 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Comment: Minor geomagnetic storming levels were reached due to continued negative polarity CH HSS effects.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 23.07.2025 11.38 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Jul 23 1137 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Jul 23 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 23.07.2025 11.36 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2083
Valid From: 2025 Jul 22 2051 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Jul 23 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 23.07.2025 05.41 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2082
Valid From: 2025 Jul 22 2051 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Jul 23 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 22.07.2025 22.52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2025 Jul 22 2252 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Jul 23 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 22.07.2025 22.49 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Jul 22 2249 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 22.07.2025 21.05 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Jul 22 2059 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 22.07.2025 20.51 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Jul 22 2051 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Jul 23 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 22.07.2025 20.50 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Jul 22 2046 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 22.07.2025 19.24 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Jul 22 1922 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Jul 23 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 22.07.2025 05.07 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3501
Begin Time: 2025 Jul 14 1550 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 13015 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 21.07.2025 19.44 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Jul 22: None (Below G1) Jul 23: G1 (Minor) Jul 24: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Comment: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is likely on 23 Jul due to recurrent, negative polarity coronal hole high speed stream effects.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 21.07.2025 05.00 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3500
Begin Time: 2025 Jul 14 1550 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 14495 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

Table

Date Radio flux 10.7 cm SESC Le nombre des taches solaires Tache de la zone 10E-6 De nouvelles régions GOES15 X-ray Bkgd flux éclairs
X-ray Optique
C M X S 1 2 3
20-07-2025 150 139 1070 1 * 9 0 0 7 1 0 0
21-07-2025 143 130 870 1 * 1 0 0 2 0 0 0
22-07-2025 145 101 640 1 * 7 0 0 4 0 0 0
23-07-2025 150 85 550 1 * 3 0 0 3 0 0 0
24-07-2025 156 137 740 4 * 5 0 0 1 0 0 0
25-07-2025 148 133 680 0 * 5 0 0 2 0 0 0
26-07-2025 143 136 690 2 * 3 0 0 2 0 0 0
27-07-2025 145 126 660 1 * 6 0 0 4 0 0 0
28-07-2025 145 134 458 2 * 1 0 0 3 0 0 0
29-07-2025 152 112 330 1 * 4 0 0 3 0 0 0
30-07-2025 149 131 530 2 * 12 0 0 8 0 0 0
31-07-2025 145 138 560 1 * 7 0 0 4 0 0 0
01-08-2025 146 129 420 0 * 15 0 0 3 0 0 0
02-08-2025 146 132 680 1 * 10 0 0 14 0 0 0
03-08-2025 146 118 810 0 * 18 1 0 4 1 0 0
04-08-2025 142 86 610 1 * 7 2 0 7 1 0 0
05-08-2025 157 120 820 1 * 8 2 0 15 3 0 0
06-08-2025 158 154 1010 3 * 17 1 0 44 1 0 0
07-08-2025 151 150 780 1 * 5 2 0 21 3 0 0
08-08-2025 148 177 1010 3 * 10 2 0 12 1 0 0
09-08-2025 140 137 680 1 * 15 2 0 9 1 0 0
10-08-2025 153 155 660 0 * 3 3 0 12 1 0 0
11-08-2025 146 157 760 1 * 14 3 0 6 0 0 0
12-08-2025 152 152 680 1 * 15 2 0 4 0 0 0
13-08-2025 140 157 630 2 * 12 0 0 8 0 0 0
14-08-2025 130 170 480 3 * 7 0 0 7 0 0 0
15-08-2025 123 168 440 1 * 12 0 0 4 0 0 0
16-08-2025 122 123 390 0 * 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
17-08-2025 117 53 100 0 * 9 0 0 2 0 0 0
18-08-2025 114 73 120 2 * 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Moyenne/Total 143 130 629 38 244 20 0 215 13 0 0

Graphique de synthèse

éclairs

Solar wind

Solar Wind

Le vent solaire est un flux de plasma libéré de la haute atmosphère du Soleil. Il se compose principalement d'électrons, de protons et de particules alpha avec des énergies généralement comprises entre 1,5 et 10 keV. Le flux de particules varie en densité, température et vitesse dans le temps et sur la longitude solaire. Ces particules peuvent échapper à la gravité du Soleil en raison de leur haute énergie, de la température élevée de la couronne et des phénomènes magnétiques, électriques et électromagnétiques qu'elle contient.

Le vent solaire est divisé en deux composantes, respectivement appelées le vent solaire lent et le vent solaire rapide. Le vent solaire lent a une vitesse d'environ 400 km / s, une température de 1,4–1,6 × 10e6 K et une composition proche de la couronne. En revanche, le vent solaire rapide a une vitesse typique de 750 km / s, une température de 8 × 10e5 K et il correspond presque à la composition de la photosphère du Soleil. Le vent solaire lent est deux fois plus dense et plus variable en intensité que le vent solaire rapide. Le vent lent a également une structure plus complexe, avec des régions turbulentes et des structures à grande échelle.

Solar radio flux at 10.7 cm

Solar radio flux at 10.7 cm

Le flux radioélectrique solaire à 10,7 cm (2800 MHz) est un excellent indicateur de l'activité solaire. Souvent appelé indice F10.7, c'est l'un des enregistrements les plus anciens d'activité solaire. Les émissions radio F10.7 proviennent de haut dans la chromosphère et bas dans la couronne de l'atmosphère solaire. Le F10.7 est bien corrélé avec le nombre de taches solaires ainsi qu'avec un certain nombre d'enregistrements d'irradiance solaire UltraViolet (UV) et visible. Rapporté en «unités de flux solaire» (s.f.u.), le F10.7 peut varier de moins de 50 s.f.u., à plus de 300 s.f.u., au cours d'un cycle solaire.

Flares

Flares

Une éruption solaire est un éclair soudain de luminosité observé à la surface du Soleil ou sur le flanc solaire, qui est interprété comme une importante libération d'énergie allant jusqu'à 6 × 10e25 joules d'énergie. Ils sont souvent, mais pas toujours, suivis d'une éjection de masse coronale colossale. La fusée éjecte des nuages ​​d'électrons, d'ions et d'atomes à travers la couronne du soleil dans l'espace. Ces nuages ​​atteignent généralement la Terre un jour ou deux après l'événement.

Les éruptions solaires affectent toutes les couches de l'atmosphère solaire (photosphère, chromosphère et couronne), lorsque le milieu plasma est chauffé à des dizaines de millions de kelvin, tandis que les électrons, les protons et les ions plus lourds sont accélérés à près de la vitesse de la lumière. Ils produisent un rayonnement à travers le spectre électromagnétique à toutes les longueurs d'onde, des ondes radio aux rayons gamma, bien que la plupart de l'énergie soit répartie sur des fréquences en dehors de la plage visuelle et pour cette raison, la majorité des fusées éclairantes ne sont pas visibles à l'œil nu et doivent être observé avec des instruments spéciaux. Les éruptions se produisent dans les régions actives autour des taches solaires, où des champs magnétiques intenses pénètrent dans la photosphère pour relier la couronne à l'intérieur solaire. Les fusées éclairantes sont alimentées par la libération soudaine (de quelques minutes à des dizaines de minutes) d'énergie magnétique stockée dans la couronne. Les mêmes rejets d'énergie peuvent produire des éjections de masse coronale (CME), bien que la relation entre les CME et les éruptions ne soit pas encore bien établie.

La fréquence d'apparition des éruptions solaires varie, de plusieurs par jour lorsque le Soleil est particulièrement «actif» à moins d'une par semaine lorsque le Soleil est «calme», suivant le cycle de 11 ans (le cycle solaire). Les grosses fusées éclairantes sont moins fréquentes que les plus petites.

Classification

Les éruptions solaires sont classées comme A, B, C, M ou X selon le flux de pointe (en watts par mètre carré, W / m2) de rayons X de 100 à 800 picomètres près de la Terre, tel que mesuré sur le vaisseau spatial GOES.

Classification Peak Flux Range at 100-800 picometer
W/m2
A < 10e-7
B 10e-7 to 10e-6
C 10e-6 to 10e-5
M 10e-5 to 10e-4
X 10e-4 to 10e-3
Z > 10e-3

An earlier flare classification is based on Hα spectral observations. The scheme uses both the intensity and emitting surface. The classification in intensity is qualitative, referring to the flares as: (f)aint, (n)ormal or (b)rilliant. The emitting surface is measured in terms of millionths of the hemisphere and is described below. (The total hemisphere area AH = 6.2 × 1012 km2.)

Classification Corrected area
(millionths of hemisphere)
S < 100
1 100 - 250
2 250 - 600
3 600 - 1200
4 > 1200

Sunspot number

Sunspots

Les taches solaires sont des phénomènes temporaires sur la photosphère du Soleil qui apparaissent visiblement comme des taches sombres par rapport aux régions environnantes. Ils correspondent à des concentrations de champ magnétique qui inhibent la convection et entraînent une température de surface réduite par rapport à la photosphère environnante. Les taches solaires apparaissent généralement par paires, avec des membres de paires de polarité magnétique opposée. Le nombre de taches solaires varie en fonction du cycle solaire d'environ 11 ans.

Les populations de taches solaires augmentent rapidement et diminuent plus lentement selon un cycle irrégulier de 11 ans, bien que des variations significatives du nombre de taches solaires observant la période de 11 ans soient connues sur des périodes plus longues. Par exemple, de 1900 aux années 1960, la tendance des maxima solaires du nombre de taches solaires a été à la hausse; des années 1960 à nos jours, il a quelque peu diminué. Au cours des dernières décennies, le Soleil a eu un niveau moyen d'activité des taches solaires nettement élevé; il était également actif pour la dernière fois il y a plus de 8 000 ans.

Le nombre de taches solaires est en corrélation avec l'intensité du rayonnement solaire au cours de la période depuis 1979, lorsque les mesures par satellite du flux radiatif absolu sont devenues disponibles. Étant donné que les taches solaires sont plus sombres que la photosphère environnante, on peut s'attendre à ce que plus de taches solaires conduisent à moins de rayonnement solaire et à une constante solaire diminuée. Cependant, les marges environnantes des taches solaires sont plus lumineuses que la moyenne et sont donc plus chaudes; Dans l'ensemble, plus de taches solaires augmentent la constante solaire ou la luminosité du Soleil. La variation causée par le cycle des taches solaires à la production solaire est relativement faible, de l'ordre de 0,1% de la constante solaire (une plage pic à creux de 1,3 W / m2 contre 1366 W / m2 pour la constante solaire moyenne).

K-indices



Aujourd’hui


0h
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12h
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3. 00 2. 00 - 1.



Data


Estimated Planetary

Estimated Planetary

Date A K-indices (UTC)
0h 3h 6h 9h 12h 15h 18h 21h
21-07-2025 4 2. 00 1. 33 0.
22-07-2025 17 1. 00 2. 00 1.
23-07-2025 27 4. 33 4. 00 3.
24-07-2025 15 3. 67 2. 67 3.
25-07-2025 8 2. 33 2. 33 2.
26-07-2025 12 2. 00 1. 67 1.
27-07-2025 5 1. 00 1. 00 1.
28-07-2025 7 1. 00 1. 33 1.
29-07-2025 8 2. 67 2. 33 2.
30-07-2025 8 2. 67 1. 67 1.
31-07-2025 11 3. 00 3. 00 2.
01-08-2025 13 2. 67 2. 67 2.
02-08-2025 9 3. 00 2. 00 1.
03-08-2025 9 2. 00 1. 67 1.
04-08-2025 8 1. 00 1. 67 2.
05-08-2025 10 3. 00 2. 67 1.
06-08-2025 6 2. 00 1. 67 1.
07-08-2025 4 1. 33 1. 33 1.
08-08-2025 22 1. 00 1. 33 1.
09-08-2025 47 5. 33 5. 00 5.
10-08-2025 22 3. 67 2. 00 4.
11-08-2025 17 4. 33 2. 33 3.
12-08-2025 14 3. 67 3. 00 2.
13-08-2025 15 2. 67 3. 00 2.
14-08-2025 11 3. 33 2. 33 3.
15-08-2025 7 2. 67 2. 33 2.
16-08-2025 6 1. 33 2. 00 1.
17-08-2025 5 1. 33 1. 33 2.
18-08-2025 7 0. 33 0. 67 1.
19-08-2025 9 3. 00 2. 00 - 1.

Middle Latitude

Date A K-indices
21-07-2025 4 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2
22-07-2025 17 1 3 2 3 3 2 4 5
23-07-2025 20 3 4 3 4 4 3 3 3
24-07-2025 16 3 3 3 4 3 3 2 3
25-07-2025 10 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 3
26-07-2025 11 2 1 2 3 3 3 3 2
27-07-2025 7 1 1 2 2 3 2 2 1
28-07-2025 8 0 1 1 2 3 3 2 3
29-07-2025 9 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 2
30-07-2025 9 2 1 2 3 3 2 3 1
31-07-2025 10 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 3
01-08-2025 13 3 3 2 3 3 2 3 3
02-08-2025 9 3 2 1 2 2 3 2 2
03-08-2025 9 2 2 1 2 2 3 3 2
04-08-2025 7 1 1 2 2 3 2 2 2
05-08-2025 10 3 2 1 2 3 2 3 2
06-08-2025 9 2 2 1 2 3 3 1 3
07-08-2025 6 1 2 1 3 2 2 1 1
08-08-2025 18 1 2 2 3 4 4 4 4
09-08-2025 27 5 4 4 4 4 4 3 3
10-08-2025 17 3 2 4 4 4 2 3 2
11-08-2025 17 4 3 2 3 4 4 2 2
12-08-2025 12 3 3 2 3 3 2 2 3
13-08-2025 17 3 3 3 4 4 2 3 3
14-08-2025 13 3 2 3 4 3 2 2 2
15-08-2025 10 3 3 3 3 2 1 2 1
16-08-2025 6 1 2 1 3 2 2 1 1
17-08-2025 7 0 2 3 3 3 1 1 0
18-08-2025 5 0 0 1 2 3 2 1 2
19-08-2025 3 2

High Latitude

Date A K-indices
21-07-2025 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1
22-07-2025 9 1 2 1 1 2 2 3 4
23-07-2025 32 4 5 4 5 5 4 3 3
24-07-2025 29 4 4 5 5 5 3 3 2
25-07-2025 10 2 3 2 3 3 2 2 2
26-07-2025 19 3 2 1 3 6 4 1 1
27-07-2025 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0
28-07-2025 6 1 2 1 0 3 2 1 2
29-07-2025 13 2 3 4 5 2 0 0 1
30-07-2025 7 2 2 1 1 3 2 2 1
31-07-2025 12 2 2 2 4 4 2 2 1
01-08-2025 19 3 3 2 3 6 2 2 2
02-08-2025 7 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2
03-08-2025 6 2 2 1 0 2 2 3 1
04-08-2025 11 1 1 3 3 4 3 2 1
05-08-2025 11 2 3 0 2 4 3 2 2
06-08-2025 4 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
07-08-2025 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0
08-08-2025 25 0 2 2 5 5 5 4 3
09-08-2025 55 5 5 7 5 5 6 3 3
10-08-2025 48 3 4 6 7 5 5 3 2
11-08-2025 44 4 3 6 6 6 5 3 2
12-08-2025 23 4 4 3 5 3 4 2 3
13-08-2025 37 3 3 5 6 6 4 3 3
14-08-2025 41 3 4 7 6 5 2 2 2
15-08-2025 13 3 3 4 4 1 2 1 1
16-08-2025 5 1 1 1 3 0 2 1 1
17-08-2025 6 1 2 2 2 4 0 0 0
18-08-2025 14 0 1 1 5 4 4 1 1
19-08-2025 3 2

About

The K-index quantifies disturbances in the horizontal component of earth's magnetic field with an integer in the range 0–9 with 1 being calm and 5 or more indicating a geomagnetic storm. It is derived from the maximum fluctuations of horizontal components observed on a magnetometer during a three-hour interval. The label K comes from the German word Kennziffer meaning “characteristic digit”. The K-index was introduced by Julius Bartels in 1938.

The Estimated 3-hour Planetary Kp-index is derived at the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center using data from the following ground-based magnetometers:

  • Sitka, Alaska
  • Meanook, Canada
  • Ottawa, Canada
  • Fredericksburg, Virginia
  • Hartland, UK
  • Wingst, Germany
  • Niemegk, Germany
  • Canberra, Australia

These data are made available thanks to the cooperative efforts between SWPC and data providers around the world, which currently includes the U.S. Geological Survey, Natural Resources Canada (NRCAN), the British Geological Survey, the German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ), and Geoscience Australia. Important magnetometer observations are also contributed by the Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris and the Korean Space Weather Center K-index Watches are issued when the highest predicted NOAA estimated Kp-indices for a day are K = 5, 6, 7, or >= 8 and is reported in terms of the NOAA G scale. K-index Warnings are issued when NOAA estimated Kp-indices of 4, 5, 6, and 7 or greater are expected. K-index Alerts are issued when the NOAA estimated Kp-indices reach 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, or 9.


More info
Source de données: NOAA, Wikipedia

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Réglages

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Caméra Web

Table

Graphique

Carte

Stable

En hausse

En baisse

Vigilance

Latitude

Longitude

Historique

éclipse solaire

éclipse de lune

GPS

Élévation

Jour

Mois

Année

Haut température

Basse température

Jour

Nuit

Printemps

Été

Automne

Hiver