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ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Issued: 19.04.2024 19.52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2024 Apr 19 1951 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Issued: 19.04.2024 19.51 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Valid From: 2024 Apr 19 1950 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Apr 19 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G3 or greater

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Issued: 19.04.2024 19.42 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2024 Apr 19 1939 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Apr 19 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 19.04.2024 19.40 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2024 Apr 19 1935 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 19.04.2024 19.40 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2024 Apr 19 1939 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Apr 19 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 19.04.2024 19.20 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Apr 19 1915 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 19.04.2024 17.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4589
Valid From: 2024 Apr 19 0650 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Apr 20 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 19.04.2024 15.52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Apr 19 1550 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 19.04.2024 14.16 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1866
Valid From: 2024 Apr 19 0900 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Apr 19 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 19.04.2024 14.15 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Apr 19 1414 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 19.04.2024 09.00 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2024 Apr 19 0900 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Apr 19 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 19.04.2024 07.50 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2024 Apr 19 0745 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 19.04.2024 06.48 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Apr 19 0650 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Apr 19 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 16.04.2024 23.09 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2024 Apr 16 2309 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Apr 17 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 16.04.2024 22.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1864
Valid From: 2024 Apr 16 1909 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Apr 17 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 16.04.2024 22.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4587
Valid From: 2024 Apr 15 2306 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Apr 17 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 16.04.2024 22.45 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Apr 16 2239 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 16.04.2024 21.23 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Apr 17: None (Below G1) Apr 18: G1 (Minor) Apr 19: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 16.04.2024 19.12 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Apr 16 1910 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 16.04.2024 19.09 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2024 Apr 16 1909 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Apr 16 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 16.04.2024 14.24 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4586
Valid From: 2024 Apr 15 2306 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Apr 16 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 16.04.2024 11.08 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2024 Apr 16 1108 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Apr 16 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 16.04.2024 05.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4585
Valid From: 2024 Apr 15 2306 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Apr 16 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 16.04.2024 01.00 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2024 Apr 16 0053 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 15.04.2024 23.06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Apr 15 2306 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Apr 16 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 13.04.2024 21.10 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Apr 14: G1 (Minor) Apr 15: G1 (Minor) Apr 16: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 12.04.2024 21.12 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Apr 13: None (Below G1) Apr 14: G1 (Minor) Apr 15: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Publié: 11.04.2024 17.27 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2024 Apr 11 1652 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Apr 11 1706 UTC
End Time: 2024 Apr 11 1711 UTC
X-ray Class: M5.4
Location: S15E90
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
Type IV Radio Emission
Publié: 11.04.2024 17.14 UTC
Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Apr 11 1659 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 11.04.2024 17.07 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Apr 11 1705 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 09.04.2024 05.34 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Apr 09 0533 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Apr 09 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 08.04.2024 05.21 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Apr 08 0520 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Apr 08 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 06.04.2024 02.03 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Apr 06 0205 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Apr 06 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CANCEL WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 05.04.2024 18.06 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Cancel Serial Number: 994
Original Issue Time: 2024 Apr 02 1926 UTC

Comment: Conditions no longer meet watch criteria.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 05.04.2024 05.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4580
Valid From: 2024 Apr 04 1138 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Apr 05 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 05.04.2024 00.02 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2024 Apr 04 2359 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-0000 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 04.04.2024 22.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4579
Valid From: 2024 Apr 04 1138 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Apr 05 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 04.04.2024 11.39 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Apr 04 1138 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Apr 04 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 03.04.2024 02.10 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Apr 03 0210 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Apr 03 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 02.04.2024 19.26 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Apr 03: None (Below G1) Apr 04: G1 (Minor) Apr 05: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 02.04.2024 11.03 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Apr 02 1102 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Apr 02 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 01.04.2024 18.08 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Apr 02: None (Below G1) Apr 03: None (Below G1) Apr 04: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 01.04.2024 08.03 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2024 Apr 01 0803 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 01.04.2024 07.39 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Apr 01 0740 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Apr 01 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 31.03.2024 03.00 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 31 0158 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 31.03.2024 01.48 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Mar 31 0147 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Mar 31 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Publié: 30.03.2024 22.24 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2024 Mar 30 2101 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Mar 30 2116 UTC
End Time: 2024 Mar 30 2215 UTC
X-ray Class: M9.4
Location: S13W88
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 30.03.2024 21.16 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 30 2114 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Publié: 28.03.2024 23.37 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2024 Mar 28 2029 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Mar 28 2056 UTC
End Time: 2024 Mar 28 2101 UTC
X-ray Class: X1.1
Optical Class: 3b
Location: S14W61
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Publié: 28.03.2024 21.12 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2024 Mar 28 2029 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Mar 28 2056 UTC
End Time: 2024 Mar 28 2101 UTC
X-ray Class: X1.1
Optical Class: 3b
Location: S14W61
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 28.03.2024 20.45 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 28 2041 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Publié: 28.03.2024 16.33 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2024 Mar 28 1540 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Mar 28 1556 UTC
End Time: 2024 Mar 28 1603 UTC
X-ray Class: M6.1
Optical Class: 1n
Location: S13W56
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 28.03.2024 16.00 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 28 1556 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Publié: 28.03.2024 06.45 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2024 Mar 28 0616 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Mar 28 0629 UTC
End Time: 2024 Mar 28 0636 UTC
X-ray Class: M7.0
Location: S13W52
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 28.03.2024 06.29 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 28 0627 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 26.03.2024 02.51 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4573
Valid From: 2024 Mar 23 0415 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 26 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

SUMMARY
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Publié: 26.03.2024 01.30 UTC
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Begin Time: 2024 Mar 23 0815 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Mar 23 1820 UTC
End Time: 2024 Mar 25 1515 UTC
Maximum 10MeV Flux: 956 pfu
NOAA Scale: S2 - Moderate

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 25.03.2024 19.12 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4572
Valid From: 2024 Mar 23 0415 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 26 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 25.03.2024 11.53 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 553
Valid From: 2024 Mar 23 0617 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 25 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 25.03.2024 08.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4571
Valid From: 2024 Mar 23 0415 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 25 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 25.03.2024 08.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1861
Valid From: 2024 Mar 23 2036 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 25 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 25.03.2024 08.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 512
Valid From: 2024 Mar 24 1435 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 25 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Publié: 25.03.2024 07.20 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2024 Mar 25 0643 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Mar 25 0643 UTC
End Time: 2024 Mar 25 0645 UTC
Duration: 2 minutes
Peak Flux: 310 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 195 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

SUMMARY
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 100pfu
Publié: 25.03.2024 07.01 UTC
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 100pfu
Begin Time: 2024 Mar 23 1405 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Mar 23 1820 UTC
End Time: 2024 Mar 24 1945 UTC
Maximum 10MeV Flux: 956 pfu
NOAA Scale: S2 - Moderate

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 25.03.2024 05.24 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 25 0523 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 24.03.2024 23.36 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 552
Valid From: 2024 Mar 23 0617 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 25 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Comment: This is an extension of the 10 MeV > 10pfu (S1) warning condition in response to continued flux above the S1 threshold.

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 24.03.2024 19.07 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 24 1903 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 24.03.2024 18.43 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 24 1840 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 8, 9-
Publié: 24.03.2024 16.29 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 8, 9-
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 24 1628 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G4 - Severe

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 45 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Possible widespread voltage control problems and some protective systems may mistakenly trip out key assets from the power grid. Induced pipeline currents intensify.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low earth orbit satellites, and tracking and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Satellite navigation (GPS) degraded or inoperable for hours.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation sporadic or blacked out.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Alabama and northern California.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Publié: 24.03.2024 15.47 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 24 1546 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Publié: 24.03.2024 15.43 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Valid From: 2024 Mar 24 1543 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Mar 25 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G3 or greater

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 24.03.2024 15.31 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 24 1526 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 24.03.2024 15.17 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 24 1516 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

SUMMARY
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Publié: 24.03.2024 15.02 UTC
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Observed: 2024 Mar 24 1437 UTC
Deviation: 377 nT
Station: MEA

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 24.03.2024 14.45 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 24 1444 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 24.03.2024 14.43 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 24 1443 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 24.03.2024 14.34 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4570
Valid From: 2024 Mar 23 0415 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 25 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 24.03.2024 14.34 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1860
Valid From: 2024 Mar 23 2036 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 25 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 24.03.2024 14.34 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2024 Mar 24 1435 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Mar 25 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

WARNING
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Publié: 24.03.2024 14.26 UTC
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2024 Mar 24 1430 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Mar 24 1500 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2024 Mar 24 1411 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 24.03.2024 08.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1859
Valid From: 2024 Mar 23 2036 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 24 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 24.03.2024 08.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4569
Valid From: 2024 Mar 23 0415 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 24 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 24.03.2024 03.01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 24 0259 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 23.03.2024 23.22 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 23 2320 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 23.03.2024 22.24 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1858
Valid From: 2024 Mar 23 2036 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 24 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 23.03.2024 22.23 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4568
Valid From: 2024 Mar 23 0415 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 24 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 23.03.2024 22.20 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2024 Mar 23 2219 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Mar 24 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 23.03.2024 21.44 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 23 2144 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 23.03.2024 20.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 23 2055 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 23.03.2024 20.43 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 551
Valid From: 2024 Mar 23 0617 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 24 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Predicted NOAA Scale: S2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 23.03.2024 20.37 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2024 Mar 23 2036 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Mar 24 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G3 Predicted
Publié: 23.03.2024 18.40 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G3 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Mar 24: G2 (Moderate) Mar 25: G3 (Strong) Mar 26: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 23.03.2024 17.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4567
Valid From: 2024 Mar 23 0415 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 24 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Publié: 23.03.2024 15.14 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2024 Mar 23 1351 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Mar 23 1402 UTC
End Time: 2024 Mar 23 1415 UTC
X-ray Class: M5.3
Optical Class: sf
Location: N21W02
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 100pfu
Publié: 23.03.2024 14.30 UTC
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 100pfu
Begin Time: 2024 Mar 23 1405 UTC
NOAA Scale: S2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Radiation - Passengers and crew in high latitude, high altitude flights may experience small, increased radiation exposures.
Spacecraft - Infrequent single-event upsets to satellites are possible.
Radio - Small effects on polar HF (high frequency) propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 23.03.2024 13.54 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 23 1352 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 23.03.2024 11.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4566
Valid From: 2024 Mar 23 0415 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 23 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 23.03.2024 09.04 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 23 0859 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Publié: 23.03.2024 08.33 UTC
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Begin Time: 2024 Mar 23 0815 UTC
NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 23.03.2024 06.17 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Valid From: 2024 Mar 23 0617 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Mar 23 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 23.03.2024 05.37 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 23 0536 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 23.03.2024 05.23 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2024 Mar 23 0523 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Mar 23 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 23.03.2024 05.12 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 23 0512 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 23.03.2024 04.14 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2024 Mar 23 0415 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Mar 23 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Publié: 23.03.2024 02.33 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2024 Mar 23 0107 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Mar 23 0117 UTC
End Time: 2024 Mar 23 0213 UTC
Duration: 66 minutes
Peak Flux: 240 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 198 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Publié: 23.03.2024 02.31 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2024 Mar 23 0058 UTC
Maximum Time: 2024 Mar 23 0133 UTC
End Time: 2024 Mar 23 0222 UTC
X-ray Class: X1.1
Location: N17E03
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

Comment: Location is difficult to ascertain with certainty because both Region 3614 and Region 3615 (S13E10) erupted with nearly similar intensity.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 23.03.2024 02.02 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2024 Mar 23 0109 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 791 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 23.03.2024 01.19 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 23 0116 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 22.03.2024 20.13 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Mar 23: None (Below G1) Mar 24: None (Below G1) Mar 25: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 22.03.2024 11.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4564
Valid From: 2024 Mar 21 0304 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 22 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 22.03.2024 08.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4563
Valid From: 2024 Mar 21 0304 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 22 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 21.03.2024 21.02 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 21 2059 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 21.03.2024 20.39 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 1855
Valid From: 2024 Mar 21 1342 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 22 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 21.03.2024 20.28 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4562
Valid From: 2024 Mar 21 0304 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 22 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 21.03.2024 18.03 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 21 1753 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 21.03.2024 14.42 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 21 1441 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 21.03.2024 13.42 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2024 Mar 21 1342 UTC
Valid To: 2024 Mar 21 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 21.03.2024 13.40 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2024 Mar 21 1338 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 21.03.2024 11.28 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4561
Valid From: 2024 Mar 21 0304 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2024 Mar 21 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

Table

Date Radio flux 10.7 cm SESC Le nombre des taches solaires Tache de la zone 10E-6 De nouvelles régions GOES15 X-ray Bkgd flux éclairs
X-ray Optique
C M X S 1 2 3
21-03-2024 197 141 1060 2 * 3 0 0 4 0 0 0
22-03-2024 198 171 1080 1 * 15 2 0 18 1 1 0
23-03-2024 209 146 1280 1 * 5 12 1 9 3 3 0
24-03-2024 195 145 1230 1 * 12 9 0 12 6 2 0
25-03-2024 190 163 1540 1 * 10 1 0 20 1 0 0
26-03-2024 178 149 1480 0 * 16 6 0 9 0 0 0
27-03-2024 175 114 1270 0 * 13 2 0 27 2 0 0
28-03-2024 173 101 1150 0 * 8 3 1 6 3 1 1
29-03-2024 167 79 1090 0 * 12 2 0 15 1 0 0
30-03-2024 140 60 930 1 * 8 1 0 7 0 0 0
31-03-2024 134 50 110 1 * 6 0 0 0 0 0 0
01-04-2024 125 50 112 1 * 0 1 0 2 0 0 0
02-04-2024 113 35 76 1 * 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
03-04-2024 112 45 101 1 * 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
04-04-2024 114 47 170 1 * 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
05-04-2024 121 81 310 3 * 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
06-04-2024 123 71 400 1 * 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
07-04-2024 125 79 380 0 * 2 0 0 1 0 0 0
08-04-2024 125 79 470 1 * 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
09-04-2024 124 64 405 0 * 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
10-04-2024 131 54 410 1 * 11 0 0 3 0 0 0
11-04-2024 144 81 560 1 * 10 1 0 4 0 0 0
12-04-2024 152 83 570 0 * 8 0 0 7 0 0 0
13-04-2024 161 115 750 2 * 8 1 0 3 0 0 0
14-04-2024 178 152 770 3 * 13 1 0 12 1 0 0
15-04-2024 192 193 1070 2 * 13 8 0 12 5 0 0
16-04-2024 199 176 1200 1 * 4 1 0 0 0 1 0
17-04-2024 217 199 1150 2 * 12 1 0 9 1 1 0
18-04-2024 227 247 1380 2 * 3 3 0 11 2 0 0
19-04-2024 213 243 1120 3 * 11 2 0 11 1 0 0
Moyenne/Total 162 114 787 34 213 57 2 203 27 9 1

Graphique de synthèse

éclairs

Solar wind

Solar Wind

Le vent solaire est un flux de plasma libéré de la haute atmosphère du Soleil. Il se compose principalement d'électrons, de protons et de particules alpha avec des énergies généralement comprises entre 1,5 et 10 keV. Le flux de particules varie en densité, température et vitesse dans le temps et sur la longitude solaire. Ces particules peuvent échapper à la gravité du Soleil en raison de leur haute énergie, de la température élevée de la couronne et des phénomènes magnétiques, électriques et électromagnétiques qu'elle contient.

Le vent solaire est divisé en deux composantes, respectivement appelées le vent solaire lent et le vent solaire rapide. Le vent solaire lent a une vitesse d'environ 400 km / s, une température de 1,4–1,6 × 10e6 K et une composition proche de la couronne. En revanche, le vent solaire rapide a une vitesse typique de 750 km / s, une température de 8 × 10e5 K et il correspond presque à la composition de la photosphère du Soleil. Le vent solaire lent est deux fois plus dense et plus variable en intensité que le vent solaire rapide. Le vent lent a également une structure plus complexe, avec des régions turbulentes et des structures à grande échelle.

Solar radio flux at 10.7 cm

Solar radio flux at 10.7 cm

Le flux radioélectrique solaire à 10,7 cm (2800 MHz) est un excellent indicateur de l'activité solaire. Souvent appelé indice F10.7, c'est l'un des enregistrements les plus anciens d'activité solaire. Les émissions radio F10.7 proviennent de haut dans la chromosphère et bas dans la couronne de l'atmosphère solaire. Le F10.7 est bien corrélé avec le nombre de taches solaires ainsi qu'avec un certain nombre d'enregistrements d'irradiance solaire UltraViolet (UV) et visible. Rapporté en «unités de flux solaire» (s.f.u.), le F10.7 peut varier de moins de 50 s.f.u., à plus de 300 s.f.u., au cours d'un cycle solaire.

Flares

Flares

Une éruption solaire est un éclair soudain de luminosité observé à la surface du Soleil ou sur le flanc solaire, qui est interprété comme une importante libération d'énergie allant jusqu'à 6 × 10e25 joules d'énergie. Ils sont souvent, mais pas toujours, suivis d'une éjection de masse coronale colossale. La fusée éjecte des nuages ​​d'électrons, d'ions et d'atomes à travers la couronne du soleil dans l'espace. Ces nuages ​​atteignent généralement la Terre un jour ou deux après l'événement.

Les éruptions solaires affectent toutes les couches de l'atmosphère solaire (photosphère, chromosphère et couronne), lorsque le milieu plasma est chauffé à des dizaines de millions de kelvin, tandis que les électrons, les protons et les ions plus lourds sont accélérés à près de la vitesse de la lumière. Ils produisent un rayonnement à travers le spectre électromagnétique à toutes les longueurs d'onde, des ondes radio aux rayons gamma, bien que la plupart de l'énergie soit répartie sur des fréquences en dehors de la plage visuelle et pour cette raison, la majorité des fusées éclairantes ne sont pas visibles à l'œil nu et doivent être observé avec des instruments spéciaux. Les éruptions se produisent dans les régions actives autour des taches solaires, où des champs magnétiques intenses pénètrent dans la photosphère pour relier la couronne à l'intérieur solaire. Les fusées éclairantes sont alimentées par la libération soudaine (de quelques minutes à des dizaines de minutes) d'énergie magnétique stockée dans la couronne. Les mêmes rejets d'énergie peuvent produire des éjections de masse coronale (CME), bien que la relation entre les CME et les éruptions ne soit pas encore bien établie.

La fréquence d'apparition des éruptions solaires varie, de plusieurs par jour lorsque le Soleil est particulièrement «actif» à moins d'une par semaine lorsque le Soleil est «calme», suivant le cycle de 11 ans (le cycle solaire). Les grosses fusées éclairantes sont moins fréquentes que les plus petites.

Classification

Les éruptions solaires sont classées comme A, B, C, M ou X selon le flux de pointe (en watts par mètre carré, W / m2) de rayons X de 100 à 800 picomètres près de la Terre, tel que mesuré sur le vaisseau spatial GOES.

Classification Peak Flux Range at 100-800 picometer
W/m2
A < 10e-7
B 10e-7 to 10e-6
C 10e-6 to 10e-5
M 10e-5 to 10e-4
X 10e-4 to 10e-3
Z > 10e-3

An earlier flare classification is based on Hα spectral observations. The scheme uses both the intensity and emitting surface. The classification in intensity is qualitative, referring to the flares as: (f)aint, (n)ormal or (b)rilliant. The emitting surface is measured in terms of millionths of the hemisphere and is described below. (The total hemisphere area AH = 6.2 × 1012 km2.)

Classification Corrected area
(millionths of hemisphere)
S < 100
1 100 - 250
2 250 - 600
3 600 - 1200
4 > 1200

Sunspot number

Sunspots

Les taches solaires sont des phénomènes temporaires sur la photosphère du Soleil qui apparaissent visiblement comme des taches sombres par rapport aux régions environnantes. Ils correspondent à des concentrations de champ magnétique qui inhibent la convection et entraînent une température de surface réduite par rapport à la photosphère environnante. Les taches solaires apparaissent généralement par paires, avec des membres de paires de polarité magnétique opposée. Le nombre de taches solaires varie en fonction du cycle solaire d'environ 11 ans.

Les populations de taches solaires augmentent rapidement et diminuent plus lentement selon un cycle irrégulier de 11 ans, bien que des variations significatives du nombre de taches solaires observant la période de 11 ans soient connues sur des périodes plus longues. Par exemple, de 1900 aux années 1960, la tendance des maxima solaires du nombre de taches solaires a été à la hausse; des années 1960 à nos jours, il a quelque peu diminué. Au cours des dernières décennies, le Soleil a eu un niveau moyen d'activité des taches solaires nettement élevé; il était également actif pour la dernière fois il y a plus de 8 000 ans.

Le nombre de taches solaires est en corrélation avec l'intensité du rayonnement solaire au cours de la période depuis 1979, lorsque les mesures par satellite du flux radiatif absolu sont devenues disponibles. Étant donné que les taches solaires sont plus sombres que la photosphère environnante, on peut s'attendre à ce que plus de taches solaires conduisent à moins de rayonnement solaire et à une constante solaire diminuée. Cependant, les marges environnantes des taches solaires sont plus lumineuses que la moyenne et sont donc plus chaudes; Dans l'ensemble, plus de taches solaires augmentent la constante solaire ou la luminosité du Soleil. La variation causée par le cycle des taches solaires à la production solaire est relativement faible, de l'ordre de 0,1% de la constante solaire (une plage pic à creux de 1,3 W / m2 contre 1366 W / m2 pour la constante solaire moyenne).

K-indices



Aujourd’hui


0h
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12h
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21h
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2. 67 2. 00 - 1.



Data


Estimated Planetary

Estimated Planetary

Date A K-indices (UTC)
0h 3h 6h 9h 12h 15h 18h 21h
22-03-2024 11 3. 67 3. 33 3.
23-03-2024 36 2. 67 5. 00 4.
24-03-2024 64 4. 67 3. 33 3.
25-03-2024 22 4. 33 5. 00 3.
26-03-2024 11 3. 33 2. 67 1.
27-03-2024 7 3. 00 1. 33 2.
28-03-2024 7 2. 00 1. 33 2.
29-03-2024 6 2. 00 2. 00 1.
30-03-2024 5 0. 67 1. 00 1.
31-03-2024 9 3. 67 2. 00 2.
01-04-2024 11 2. 00 3. 33 3.
02-04-2024 8 1. 67 1. 67 1.
03-04-2024 7 3. 00 2. 33 1.
04-04-2024 12 1. 67 1. 33 2.
05-04-2024 12 2. 33 3. 33 3.
06-04-2024 10 3. 33 2. 33 3.
07-04-2024 6 1. 67 2. 00 1.
08-04-2024 8 2. 67 3. 33 3.
09-04-2024 11 0. 67 2. 67 3.
10-04-2024 8 3. 00 1. 67 2.
11-04-2024 6 2. 33 2. 67 0.
12-04-2024 7 2. 33 2. 67 1.
13-04-2024 5 2. 00 2. 33 0.
14-04-2024 6 2. 33 1. 00 2.
15-04-2024 8 2. 33 2. 00 0.
16-04-2024 31 4. 00 3. 33 4.
17-04-2024 7 3. 00 1. 33 1.
18-04-2024 4 1. 67 0. 67 0.
19-04-2024 41 2. 33 1. 33 4.
20-04-2024 42 2. 67 2. 00 - 1.

Middle Latitude

Date A K-indices
22-03-2024 10 3 3 3 3 1 2 1 1
23-03-2024 25 3 5 4 4 3 4 3 4
24-03-2024 43 4 3 3 4 5 7 5 4
25-03-2024 17 4 4 3 3 4 2 2 2
26-03-2024 11 3 2 1 3 2 2 3 3
27-03-2024 7 3 1 2 2 2 2 1 2
28-03-2024 6 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 2
29-03-2024 4 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 0
30-03-2024 4 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1
31-03-2024 8 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
01-04-2024 9 1 3 3 1 2 3 2 2
02-04-2024 7 0 1 1 3 3 3 1 1
03-04-2024 10 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 5
04-04-2024 33 6 3 3 3 3 4 6 3
05-04-2024 10 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 2
06-04-2024 8 3 2 3 2 2 1 1 2
07-04-2024 5 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 1
08-04-2024 8 2 3 3 1 2 2 1 1
09-04-2024 10 1 2 3 2 3 2 2 3
10-04-2024 7 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 1
11-04-2024 6 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 1
12-04-2024 6 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2
13-04-2024 6 2 2 0 1 2 3 2 1
14-04-2024 5 1 0 2 2 2 1 2 2
15-04-2024 7 1 2 0 2 2 2 2 3
16-04-2024 17 3 1 4 3 3 3 4
17-04-2024 8 3 2 1 2 2 1 3 2
18-04-2024 5 2 0 2 1 2 1 2
19-04-2024 21 2 1 4 4 4 3 5 3
20-04-2024 2 2

High Latitude

Date A K-indices
22-03-2024 9 3 2 3 4 1 1 0 0
23-03-2024 44 2 4 7 5 4 5 4 4
24-03-2024 00 4 4 5 5 6 9 7 4
25-03-2024 21 3 3 4 4 5 3 3 1
26-03-2024 9 2 3 1 3 3 2 1 2
27-03-2024 4 2 2 2 2 1 0 0 1
28-03-2024 13 2 2 1 5 4 1 1 1
29-03-2024 6 1 0 3 3 3 1 0 0
30-03-2024 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1
31-03-2024 4 2 1 2 2 0 1 0 2
01-04-2024 14 2 3 5 3 3 1 2 1
02-04-2024 9 1 1 0 5 2 1 1 1
03-04-2024 8 2 2 2 3 2 3 1 0
04-04-2024 18 0 0 2 5 5 3 2 3
05-04-2024 21 2 3 4 5 5 3 2 1
06-04-2024 12 3 2 4 3 3 1 2 1
07-04-2024 8 2 2 1 3 3 2 1 1
08-04-2024 9 2 3 4 3 1 1 0 0
09-04-2024 18 1 2 3 5 5 2 2 2
10-04-2024 11 2 1 1 4 2 4 2 1
11-04-2024 3 2 1 0 1 1 1 1 1
12-04-2024 3 1 2 1 1 0 1 1 1
13-04-2024 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1
14-04-2024 3 2 0 2 1 1 0 1 1
15-04-2024 2 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 1
16-04-2024 36 3 3 5 4 4 5 6 4
17-04-2024 13 3 1 1 3 3 5 1 1
18-04-2024 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1
19-04-2024 46 2 1 5 5 4 7 6 3
20-04-2024 2 2

About

The K-index quantifies disturbances in the horizontal component of earth's magnetic field with an integer in the range 0–9 with 1 being calm and 5 or more indicating a geomagnetic storm. It is derived from the maximum fluctuations of horizontal components observed on a magnetometer during a three-hour interval. The label K comes from the German word Kennziffer meaning “characteristic digit”. The K-index was introduced by Julius Bartels in 1938.

The Estimated 3-hour Planetary Kp-index is derived at the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center using data from the following ground-based magnetometers:

  • Sitka, Alaska
  • Meanook, Canada
  • Ottawa, Canada
  • Fredericksburg, Virginia
  • Hartland, UK
  • Wingst, Germany
  • Niemegk, Germany
  • Canberra, Australia

These data are made available thanks to the cooperative efforts between SWPC and data providers around the world, which currently includes the U.S. Geological Survey, Natural Resources Canada (NRCAN), the British Geological Survey, the German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ), and Geoscience Australia. Important magnetometer observations are also contributed by the Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris and the Korean Space Weather Center K-index Watches are issued when the highest predicted NOAA estimated Kp-indices for a day are K = 5, 6, 7, or >= 8 and is reported in terms of the NOAA G scale. K-index Warnings are issued when NOAA estimated Kp-indices of 4, 5, 6, and 7 or greater are expected. K-index Alerts are issued when the NOAA estimated Kp-indices reach 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, or 9.


More info
Source de données: NOAA, Wikipedia

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