La météorologie de l’espace

La vitesse du vent solaire Vent solaire champs magnétiques Flux radio 10,7 cm à midi
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WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Issued: 13.02.2026 18.22 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Feb 14: None (Below G1) Feb 15: G1 (Minor) Feb 16: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Issued: 13.02.2026 17.07 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 13 1650 UTC
Station: GOES19

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 13.02.2026 16.29 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5253
Valid From: 2026 Feb 13 0210 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Feb 13 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 13.02.2026 02.13 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 13 0213 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 13.02.2026 02.11 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2026 Feb 13 0210 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Feb 13 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 12.02.2026 15.27 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 12 1510 UTC
Station: GOES19

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 12.02.2026 14.55 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Feb 13: None (Below G1) Feb 14: None (Below G1) Feb 15: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 11.02.2026 22.21 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 11 2221 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 11.02.2026 19.37 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2026 Feb 11 1936 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Feb 12 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 10.02.2026 23.30 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2026 Feb 10 2330 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Feb 11 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 10.02.2026 22.15 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 10 2214 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 10.02.2026 22.14 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2026 Feb 10 2213 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Feb 11 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 10.02.2026 12.12 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3623
Begin Time: 2026 Feb 07 1340 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 1764 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 09.02.2026 12.11 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3622
Begin Time: 2026 Feb 07 1340 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 1894 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Publié: 08.02.2026 14.02 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2026 Feb 08 1350 UTC
Maximum Time: 2026 Feb 08 1350 UTC
End Time: 2026 Feb 08 1353 UTC
Duration: 3 minutes
Peak Flux: 440 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 169 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 08.02.2026 11.57 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3621
Begin Time: 2026 Feb 07 1340 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 2062 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 07.02.2026 21.25 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5249
Valid From: 2026 Feb 06 1253 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Feb 08 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 07.02.2026 14.18 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 07 1340 UTC
Station: GOES18

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 07.02.2026 08.48 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5248
Valid From: 2026 Feb 06 1253 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Feb 07 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 06.02.2026 23.51 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5247
Valid From: 2026 Feb 06 1253 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Feb 07 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 06.02.2026 17.44 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2026 Feb 06 1744 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Feb 06 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 06.02.2026 15.01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 06 1459 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 06.02.2026 12.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2026 Feb 06 1253 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Feb 06 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 05.02.2026 15.51 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Feb 06: G1 (Minor) Feb 07: None (Below G1) Feb 08: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 05.02.2026 08.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5245
Valid From: 2026 Feb 04 1515 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Feb 05 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 05.02.2026 08.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2186
Valid From: 2026 Feb 05 0300 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Feb 05 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 05.02.2026 04.33 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 05 0426 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 05.02.2026 02.59 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2026 Feb 05 0300 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Feb 05 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 04.02.2026 23.12 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5244
Valid From: 2026 Feb 04 1515 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Feb 05 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 04.02.2026 17.00 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 03 1700 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

SUMMARY
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Publié: 04.02.2026 15.35 UTC
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Observed: 2026 Feb 04 1506 UTC
Deviation: 16 nT
Station: BOU

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 04.02.2026 15.08 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2026 Feb 04 1515 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Feb 04 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Publié: 04.02.2026 14.33 UTC
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2026 Feb 04 1505 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Feb 04 1535 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2026 Feb 04 1421 UTC

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Publié: 04.02.2026 12.39 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2026 Feb 04 1202 UTC
Maximum Time: 2026 Feb 04 1213 UTC
End Time: 2026 Feb 04 1218 UTC
X-ray Class: X4.2
Optical Class: na
Location: N14E04
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 04.02.2026 12.12 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 04 1209 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 04.02.2026 09.27 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3619
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 21 0950 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 10480 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 03.02.2026 16.46 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Feb 04: None (Below G1) Feb 05: G1 (Minor) Feb 06: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Publié: 03.02.2026 15.10 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2026 Feb 03 1445 UTC
Maximum Time: 2026 Feb 03 1456 UTC
End Time: 2026 Feb 03 1503 UTC
X-ray Class: M7.2
Location: N14E14
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 03.02.2026 14.58 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 03 1455 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Publié: 03.02.2026 14.28 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2026 Feb 03 1358 UTC
Maximum Time: 2026 Feb 03 1408 UTC
End Time: 2026 Feb 03 1418 UTC
X-ray Class: X1.5
Location: N14E14
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 03.02.2026 14.11 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 03 1407 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Publié: 03.02.2026 07.25 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2026 Feb 03 0643 UTC
Maximum Time: 2026 Feb 03 0701 UTC
End Time: 2026 Feb 03 0719 UTC
X-ray Class: M7.2
Location: N14E17
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 03.02.2026 07.02 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 03 0700 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 03.02.2026 04.59 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3618
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 21 0950 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 7292 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Publié: 02.02.2026 11.43 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2026 Feb 02 1115 UTC
Maximum Time: 2026 Feb 02 1124 UTC
End Time: 2026 Feb 02 1131 UTC
X-ray Class: M6.7
Location: N18E30
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 02.02.2026 11.23 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 02 1121 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 02.02.2026 10.31 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Feb 03: None (Below G1) Feb 04: None (Below G1) Feb 05: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Comment: CME(s) associated with a complex eruption during the X8.1 event from Region 4366 will likely deliver glancing influences by late on 05 Feb leading to possible minor geomagnetic storming conditions.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Publié: 02.02.2026 08.49 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2026 Feb 02 0739 UTC
Maximum Time: 2026 Feb 02 0813 UTC
End Time: 2026 Feb 02 0842 UTC
X-ray Class: X1.6
Location: N16E26
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

Comment: Source AR 4366. Unkown if ejecta at this time.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 02.02.2026 07.58 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 02 0754 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 02.02.2026 05.00 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3617
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 21 0950 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 10157 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Publié: 02.02.2026 03.09 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2026 Feb 02 0245 UTC
Maximum Time: 2026 Feb 02 0251 UTC
End Time: 2026 Feb 02 0259 UTC
X-ray Class: M5.2
Location: N14E35
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 02.02.2026 02.52 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 02 0249 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Publié: 02.02.2026 01.20 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2026 Feb 02 0031 UTC
Maximum Time: 2026 Feb 02 0036 UTC
End Time: 2026 Feb 02 0040 UTC
X-ray Class: X2.8
Location: N14E36
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Publié: 02.02.2026 00.21 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2026 Feb 01 2344 UTC
Maximum Time: 2026 Feb 01 2357 UTC
End Time: 2026 Feb 02 0004 UTC
X-ray Class: X8.1
Location: N14E34
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 01.02.2026 23.56 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 01 2356 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Publié: 01.02.2026 16.29 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2026 Feb 01 1557 UTC
Maximum Time: 2026 Feb 01 1605 UTC
End Time: 2026 Feb 01 1616 UTC
X-ray Class: M5.1
Location: N17E40
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 01.02.2026 16.08 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 01 1608 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Publié: 01.02.2026 13.13 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2026 Feb 01 1245 UTC
Maximum Time: 2026 Feb 01 1250 UTC
End Time: 2026 Feb 01 1304 UTC
X-ray Class: M5.8
Location: N16E36
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Comment: Additional flaring from Region 4366. No radio sweeps reported by USAF observatories indicating a CME at this time.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 01.02.2026 12.55 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 01 1248 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Publié: 01.02.2026 12.53 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2026 Feb 01 1152 UTC
Maximum Time: 2026 Feb 01 1233 UTC
End Time: 2026 Feb 01 1238 UTC
X-ray Class: X1.0
Location: N16E37
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

Comment: Double peak flare with M6.7 and X1.0 peaks.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 01.02.2026 12.12 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 01 1209 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Publié: 01.02.2026 10.18 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2026 Feb 01 0953 UTC
Maximum Time: 2026 Feb 01 1002 UTC
End Time: 2026 Feb 01 1006 UTC
X-ray Class: M6.6
Location: N16E39
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Comment: Flare originated from AR 4366 and appears to be impulsive in nature at this time.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 01.02.2026 10.05 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Feb 01 1001 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 01.02.2026 04.59 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3616
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 21 0950 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 11100 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 31.01.2026 05.03 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3615
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 21 0950 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 9214 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 30.01.2026 04.59 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3614
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 21 0950 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 8017 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 29.01.2026 20.39 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5242
Valid From: 2026 Jan 27 2103 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 30 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 29.01.2026 11.39 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5241
Valid From: 2026 Jan 27 2103 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 29 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 29.01.2026 04.59 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3613
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 21 0950 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 10382 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 28.01.2026 23.27 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 28 2321 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 28.01.2026 22.17 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2184
Valid From: 2026 Jan 28 1534 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 29 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 28.01.2026 22.17 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5240
Valid From: 2026 Jan 27 2103 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 29 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 28.01.2026 15.35 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2026 Jan 28 1534 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Jan 28 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 28.01.2026 14.30 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 28 1425 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 28.01.2026 07.29 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3612
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 21 0950 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 13181 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 27.01.2026 21.04 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2026 Jan 27 2103 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Jan 28 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 27.01.2026 04.59 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3611
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 21 0950 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 8394 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 26.01.2026 09.06 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Jan 27: None (Below G1) Jan 28: G1 (Minor) Jan 29: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Comment: Negative polarity CH influences will likely lead to isolated G1 (Minor) geomanetic storming periods on 28 Jan.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 26.01.2026 05.01 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3610
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 21 0950 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 6155 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 25.01.2026 17.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5238
Valid From: 2026 Jan 25 0245 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 26 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 25.01.2026 11.50 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5237
Valid From: 2026 Jan 25 0245 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 25 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 25.01.2026 05.00 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3609
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 21 0950 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 5171 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 25.01.2026 02.48 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2026 Jan 25 0245 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Jan 25 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 24.01.2026 17.52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5235
Valid From: 2026 Jan 22 2224 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 24 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 24.01.2026 05.00 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3608
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 21 0950 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 3392 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 24.01.2026 02.57 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2182
Valid From: 2026 Jan 22 2325 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 24 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 24.01.2026 02.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5234
Valid From: 2026 Jan 22 2224 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 24 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 23.01.2026 20.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5233
Valid From: 2026 Jan 22 2224 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 24 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 23.01.2026 20.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2181
Valid From: 2026 Jan 22 2325 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 24 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 23.01.2026 14.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5232
Valid From: 2026 Jan 22 2224 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 23 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 23.01.2026 14.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2180
Valid From: 2026 Jan 22 2325 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 23 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 23.01.2026 09.03 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5231
Valid From: 2026 Jan 22 2224 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 23 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 23.01.2026 08.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2179
Valid From: 2026 Jan 22 2325 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 23 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 23.01.2026 04.59 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3607
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 21 0950 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 5365 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 23.01.2026 00.00 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5230
Valid From: 2026 Jan 22 2224 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 23 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 22.01.2026 23.39 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2026 Jan 22 2339 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Jan 23 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 22.01.2026 23.29 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 22 2327 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 22.01.2026 23.25 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2026 Jan 22 2325 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Jan 23 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 22.01.2026 23.00 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 22 2254 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 22.01.2026 22.24 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2026 Jan 22 2224 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Jan 23 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

SUMMARY
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Publié: 22.01.2026 17.54 UTC
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 18 2255 UTC
Maximum Time: 2026 Jan 19 1915 UTC
End Time: 2026 Jan 22 0545 UTC
Maximum 10MeV Flux: 37000 pfu
NOAA Scale: S4 - Severe

EXTENDED WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 22.01.2026 11.03 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 622
Valid From: 2026 Jan 22 0124 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 22 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

ALERT
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Publié: 22.01.2026 05.37 UTC
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 22 0520 UTC
NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 22.01.2026 04.59 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3606
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 21 0950 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 3332 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 22.01.2026 01.24 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Valid From: 2026 Jan 22 0124 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Jan 22 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 21.01.2026 10.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5228
Valid From: 2026 Jan 16 0254 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 22 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 21.01.2026 10.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2177
Valid From: 2026 Jan 19 1902 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 22 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 21.01.2026 10.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 636
Valid From: 2026 Jan 19 1902 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 21 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Publié: 21.01.2026 10.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Extension to Serial Number: 143
Valid From: 2026 Jan 19 1902 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 21 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 21.01.2026 10.37 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 21 1037 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 21.01.2026 10.06 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 21 0950 UTC
Station: GOES19

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 21.01.2026 09.48 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 21 0948 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Publié: 21.01.2026 08.53 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 21 0852 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 21.01.2026 07.31 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Jan 22: G1 (Minor) Jan 23: None (Below G1) Jan 24: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 21.01.2026 07.27 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 21 0723 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 21.01.2026 07.10 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 21 0704 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Publié: 21.01.2026 05.11 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 21 0507 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 21.01.2026 04.47 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 21 0439 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 21.01.2026 03.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 21 0349 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Publié: 21.01.2026 02.20 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 21 0213 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 21.01.2026 02.01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5227
Valid From: 2026 Jan 16 0254 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 21 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 21.01.2026 02.01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2176
Valid From: 2026 Jan 19 1902 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 21 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Publié: 21.01.2026 02.01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Extension to Serial Number: 142
Valid From: 2026 Jan 19 1902 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 21 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 21.01.2026 02.01 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 635
Valid From: 2026 Jan 19 1902 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 21 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

SUMMARY
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 100pfu
Publié: 21.01.2026 01.55 UTC
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 100pfu
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 19 0440 UTC
Maximum Time: 2026 Jan 19 1915 UTC
End Time: 2026 Jan 20 1335 UTC
Maximum 10MeV Flux: 37000 pfu
NOAA Scale: S4 - Severe

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 21.01.2026 00.35 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 21 0032 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 21.01.2026 00.28 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 21 0013 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 8, 9-
Publié: 21.01.2026 00.08 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 8, 9-
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 2359 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G4 - Severe

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 45 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Possible widespread voltage control problems and some protective systems may mistakenly trip out key assets from the power grid. Induced pipeline currents intensify.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low earth orbit satellites, and tracking and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Satellite navigation (GPS) degraded or inoperable for hours.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation sporadic or blacked out.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Alabama and northern California.

EXTENDED WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 20.01.2026 23.55 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 620
Valid From: 2026 Jan 18 2130 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 21 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Publié: 20.01.2026 22.42 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 2243 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 20.01.2026 22.33 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 2230 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 20.01.2026 21.35 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 2134 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 20.01.2026 19.53 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 634
Valid From: 2026 Jan 19 1902 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 21 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Publié: 20.01.2026 19.53 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Extension to Serial Number: 141
Valid From: 2026 Jan 19 1902 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 21 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 20.01.2026 19.53 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5226
Valid From: 2026 Jan 16 0254 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 21 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 20.01.2026 19.53 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2175
Valid From: 2026 Jan 19 1902 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 21 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Publié: 20.01.2026 19.49 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 1945 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 20.01.2026 18.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 1852 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 20.01.2026 18.23 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 1818 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Publié: 20.01.2026 17.27 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 1724 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 20.01.2026 15.30 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 1523 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 20.01.2026 15.19 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 1513 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Publié: 20.01.2026 14.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Extension to Serial Number: 140
Valid From: 2026 Jan 19 1902 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 20 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 20.01.2026 14.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 633
Valid From: 2026 Jan 19 1902 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 20 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Publié: 20.01.2026 12.48 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 1247 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 20.01.2026 12.29 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 1229 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 20.01.2026 12.11 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 1210 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 8, 9-
Publié: 20.01.2026 10.22 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 8, 9-
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 1021 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G4 - Severe

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 45 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Possible widespread voltage control problems and some protective systems may mistakenly trip out key assets from the power grid. Induced pipeline currents intensify.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low earth orbit satellites, and tracking and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Satellite navigation (GPS) degraded or inoperable for hours.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation sporadic or blacked out.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Alabama and northern California.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Publié: 20.01.2026 09.43 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 0943 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 20.01.2026 09.28 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 0927 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 20.01.2026 09.17 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 0917 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 8, 9-
Publié: 20.01.2026 08.23 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 8, 9-
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 0823 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G4 - Severe

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 45 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Possible widespread voltage control problems and some protective systems may mistakenly trip out key assets from the power grid. Induced pipeline currents intensify.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low earth orbit satellites, and tracking and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Satellite navigation (GPS) degraded or inoperable for hours.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation sporadic or blacked out.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Alabama and northern California.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Publié: 20.01.2026 08.00 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 0752 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 20.01.2026 07.36 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 0730 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 20.01.2026 07.05 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 0658 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 20.01.2026 06.03 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 0559 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 20.01.2026 04.09 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 0403 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 20.01.2026 04.06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 0403 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

SUMMARY
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 20.01.2026 01.03 UTC
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 19 1020 UTC
Maximum Time: 2026 Jan 19 1915 UTC
End Time: 2026 Jan 19 2135 UTC
Maximum 10MeV Flux: 37000 pfu
NOAA Scale: S4 - Severe

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 20.01.2026 00.14 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 0016 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 20.01.2026 00.12 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 20 0008 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

SUMMARY
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10000pfu
Publié: 19.01.2026 23.21 UTC
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10000pfu
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 19 1810 UTC
Maximum Time: 2026 Jan 19 1915 UTC
End Time: 2026 Jan 19 2045 UTC
Maximum 10MeV Flux: 37000 pfu
NOAA Scale: S4 - Severe

SUMMARY
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Publié: 19.01.2026 21.56 UTC
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Observed: 2026 Jan 19 2134 UTC
Deviation: 481 nT
Station: WNG

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 8, 9-
Publié: 19.01.2026 21.17 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 8, 9-
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 19 2119 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G4 - Severe

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 45 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Possible widespread voltage control problems and some protective systems may mistakenly trip out key assets from the power grid. Induced pipeline currents intensify.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low earth orbit satellites, and tracking and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Satellite navigation (GPS) degraded or inoperable for hours.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation sporadic or blacked out.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Alabama and northern California.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Publié: 19.01.2026 21.14 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 19 2114 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 19.01.2026 21.09 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 19 2110 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 19.01.2026 21.09 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 19 2109 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 8, 9-
Publié: 19.01.2026 19.43 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 8, 9-
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 19 1938 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G4 - Severe

Comment: Currently at a Kp8-

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 45 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Possible widespread voltage control problems and some protective systems may mistakenly trip out key assets from the power grid. Induced pipeline currents intensify.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low earth orbit satellites, and tracking and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Satellite navigation (GPS) degraded or inoperable for hours.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation sporadic or blacked out.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Alabama and northern California.

SUMMARY
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Publié: 19.01.2026 19.36 UTC
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
Observed: 2026 Jan 19 1920 UTC
Deviation: 97 nT
Station: BOU

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Publié: 19.01.2026 19.30 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 19 1931 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 19.01.2026 19.28 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5225
Valid From: 2026 Jan 16 0254 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 21 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 19.01.2026 19.27 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2174
Valid From: 2026 Jan 19 1902 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 20 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Comment: Correction for end time.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Publié: 19.01.2026 19.24 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 19 1923 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 19.01.2026 19.22 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 19 1922 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Publié: 19.01.2026 19.09 UTC
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
Valid From: 2026 Jan 19 1920 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Jan 19 2000 UTC
IP Shock Passage Observed: 2026 Jan 19 1903 UTC

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Publié: 19.01.2026 19.06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2026 Jan 19 1902 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Jan 20 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 19.01.2026 19.06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2026 Jan 19 1902 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Jan 20 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Publié: 19.01.2026 19.06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 7 or greater expected
Valid From: 2026 Jan 19 1902 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Jan 20 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G3 or greater

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 50 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power system voltage irregularities possible, false alarms may be triggered on some protection devices.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Intermittent satellite navigation (GPS) problems, including loss-of-lock and increased range error may occur.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio may be intermittent.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Pennsylvania to Iowa to Oregon.

ALERT
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10000pfu
Publié: 19.01.2026 18.19 UTC
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10000pfu
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 19 1810 UTC
NOAA Scale: S4 - Severe

Potential Impacts: Radiation - Passengers and crew in high latitude, high altitude flights may experience significant radiation exposures. Astronauts on EVA (extra-vehicular activity) are exposed to unavoidable radiation hazard.
Spacecraft - Satellites may experience memory device problems and noise on imaging systems; star-trackers may cause orientation problems; solar panel efficiency may be degraded.
Radio - Widespread blackout of polar HF (high frequency) communications likely.

EXTENDED WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 19.01.2026 18.14 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 619
Valid From: 2026 Jan 18 2130 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 20 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Comment: This warning UPGRADED from S3 (Strong) to S4 (Severe) due to increasing Proton flux levels.

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G4 or Greater Predicted
Publié: 19.01.2026 12.03 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G4 or Greater Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Jan 20: G4 (Severe) Jan 21: G1 (Minor) Jan 22: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 45 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Possible widespread voltage control problems and some protective systems may mistakenly trip out key assets from the power grid. Induced pipeline currents intensify.
Spacecraft - Systems may experience surface charging; increased drag on low earth orbit satellites, and tracking and orientation problems may occur.
Navigation - Satellite navigation (GPS) degraded or inoperable for hours.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation sporadic or blacked out.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as Alabama and northern California.

ALERT
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 19.01.2026 10.29 UTC
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 19 1020 UTC
NOAA Scale: S3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Radiation - Passengers and crew in high latitude, high altitude flights may experience increasing radiation exposures. Astronauts on EVA (extra-vehicular activity) are exposed to elevated radiation levels.
Spacecraft - Single-event upsets to satellite operations, noise in imaging systems, and slight reduction of efficiency in solar panels are likely.
Radio - Degraded or episodically blacked-out polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation.

EXTENDED WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 19.01.2026 10.29 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 618
Valid From: 2026 Jan 18 2130 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 20 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Predicted NOAA Scale: S3 - Strong

Comment: This warning UPGRADED from S2 (Moderate) to S3 (Strong) due to increasing Proton flux levels.

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 19.01.2026 05.00 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3604
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 12 1040 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 4619 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 100pfu
Publié: 19.01.2026 04.47 UTC
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 100pfu
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 19 0440 UTC
NOAA Scale: S2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Radiation - Passengers and crew in high latitude, high altitude flights may experience small, increased radiation exposures.
Spacecraft - Infrequent single-event upsets to satellites are possible.
Radio - Small effects on polar HF (high frequency) propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

EXTENDED WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 19.01.2026 04.11 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Extension to Serial Number: 617
Valid From: 2026 Jan 18 2130 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 19 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence
Predicted NOAA Scale: S2 - Moderate

Comment: This warning UPGRADED from S1 (Minor) to S2 (Moderate) due to increasing Proton flux levels.

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 18.01.2026 23.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5224
Valid From: 2026 Jan 16 0254 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 19 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Publié: 18.01.2026 23.11 UTC
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 18 2255 UTC
NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Publié: 18.01.2026 21.30 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Valid From: 2026 Jan 18 2130 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Jan 19 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Publié: 18.01.2026 19.55 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 18 1739 UTC
Maximum Time: 2026 Jan 18 1757 UTC
End Time: 2026 Jan 18 1944 UTC
Duration: 122 minutes
Peak Flux: 3200 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 148 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Publié: 18.01.2026 19.00 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 18 1727 UTC
Maximum Time: 2026 Jan 18 1809 UTC
End Time: 2026 Jan 18 1851 UTC
X-ray Class: X1.9
Optical Class: 3b
Location: S12E20
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Publié: 18.01.2026 18.47 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 18 1759 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 693 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

ALERT
Type IV Radio Emission
Publié: 18.01.2026 18.13 UTC
Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 18 1748 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Publié: 18.01.2026 17.52 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 18 1752 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 18.01.2026 06.02 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3603
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 12 1040 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 2763 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 17.01.2026 22.36 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5223
Valid From: 2026 Jan 16 0254 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 18 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 17.01.2026 13.43 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3602
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 12 1040 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 8698 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 17.01.2026 02.09 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 17 0209 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 17.01.2026 02.07 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2172
Valid From: 2026 Jan 16 1525 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 17 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 17.01.2026 02.07 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5222
Valid From: 2026 Jan 16 0254 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 17 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 16.01.2026 22.57 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 16 2255 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 16.01.2026 20.41 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 5221
Valid From: 2026 Jan 16 0254 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 17 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 16.01.2026 20.41 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2171
Valid From: 2026 Jan 16 1525 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2026 Jan 17 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Publié: 16.01.2026 16.26 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 16 1626 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Publié: 16.01.2026 15.23 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2026 Jan 16 1525 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Jan 16 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Publié: 16.01.2026 12.27 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3601
Begin Time: 2026 Jan 12 1040 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 9014 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Publié: 16.01.2026 05.15 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2026 Jan 16 0515 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Publié: 16.01.2026 02.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2026 Jan 16 0254 UTC
Valid To: 2026 Jan 16 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Publié: 15.01.2026 20.55 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Jan 16: None (Below G1) Jan 17: G1 (Minor) Jan 18: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

Table

Date Radio flux 10.7 cm SESC Le nombre des taches solaires Tache de la zone 10E-6 De nouvelles régions GOES15 X-ray Bkgd flux éclairs
X-ray Optique
C M X S 1 2 3
15-01-2026 139 123 890 4 * 4 0 0 2 0 0 0
16-01-2026 148 144 1650 1 * 11 0 0 7 0 0 0
17-01-2026 159 124 950 0 * 13 2 0 7 0 1 0
18-01-2026 148 140 750 1 * 7 0 1 3 0 0 1
19-01-2026 173 162 740 3 * 6 1 0 1 0 0 0
20-01-2026 178 172 790 1 * 8 0 0 4 0 0 0
21-01-2026 188 166 845 0 * 11 2 0 4 1 0 0
22-01-2026 194 206 890 2 * 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
23-01-2026 180 195 900 0 * 7 0 0 2 0 0 0
24-01-2026 174 147 880 1 * 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
25-01-2026 165 131 790 0 * 11 0 0 1 0 0 0
26-01-2026 153 115 560 1 * 5 0 0 3 1 0 0
27-01-2026 144 100 300 2 * 6 0 0 3 0 0 0
28-01-2026 133 135 360 3 * 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
29-01-2026 129 117 280 2 * 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
30-01-2026 128 112 300 3 * 10 0 0 0 1 0 0
31-01-2026 141 126 400 2 * 19 0 0 4 0 1 0
01-02-2026 162 97 790 1 * 2 17 2 0 0 1 0
02-02-2026 174 131 1020 2 * 1 15 2 0 1 1 0
03-02-2026 178 171 1385 1 * 5 11 1 5 6 0 0
04-02-2026 167 166 1340 0 * 6 12 1 5 2 1 0
05-02-2026 176 139 1430 0 * 13 9 0 6 3 0 0
06-02-2026 164 132 1510 1 * 12 0 0 7 1 0 0
07-02-2026 169 128 1560 0 * 6 0 0 0 0 0 0
08-02-2026 167 118 1470 0 * 6 3 0 8 4 1 0
09-02-2026 144 107 1490 1 * 10 1 0 2 1 0 0
10-02-2026 142 105 1385 0 * 8 1 0 0 0 0 0
11-02-2026 129 84 570 1 * 10 2 0 5 0 0 0
12-02-2026 129 82 480 0 * 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
13-02-2026 117 50 430 0 * 0 1 0 1 0 0 0
Moyenne/Total 156 131 905 33 219 78 7 80 21 6 1

Graphique de synthèse

éclairs

Solar wind

Solar Wind

Le vent solaire est un flux de plasma libéré de la haute atmosphère du Soleil. Il se compose principalement d'électrons, de protons et de particules alpha avec des énergies généralement comprises entre 1,5 et 10 keV. Le flux de particules varie en densité, température et vitesse dans le temps et sur la longitude solaire. Ces particules peuvent échapper à la gravité du Soleil en raison de leur haute énergie, de la température élevée de la couronne et des phénomènes magnétiques, électriques et électromagnétiques qu'elle contient.

Le vent solaire est divisé en deux composantes, respectivement appelées le vent solaire lent et le vent solaire rapide. Le vent solaire lent a une vitesse d'environ 400 km / s, une température de 1,4–1,6 × 10e6 K et une composition proche de la couronne. En revanche, le vent solaire rapide a une vitesse typique de 750 km / s, une température de 8 × 10e5 K et il correspond presque à la composition de la photosphère du Soleil. Le vent solaire lent est deux fois plus dense et plus variable en intensité que le vent solaire rapide. Le vent lent a également une structure plus complexe, avec des régions turbulentes et des structures à grande échelle.

Solar radio flux at 10.7 cm

Solar radio flux at 10.7 cm

Le flux radioélectrique solaire à 10,7 cm (2800 MHz) est un excellent indicateur de l'activité solaire. Souvent appelé indice F10.7, c'est l'un des enregistrements les plus anciens d'activité solaire. Les émissions radio F10.7 proviennent de haut dans la chromosphère et bas dans la couronne de l'atmosphère solaire. Le F10.7 est bien corrélé avec le nombre de taches solaires ainsi qu'avec un certain nombre d'enregistrements d'irradiance solaire UltraViolet (UV) et visible. Rapporté en «unités de flux solaire» (s.f.u.), le F10.7 peut varier de moins de 50 s.f.u., à plus de 300 s.f.u., au cours d'un cycle solaire.

Flares

Flares

Une éruption solaire est un éclair soudain de luminosité observé à la surface du Soleil ou sur le flanc solaire, qui est interprété comme une importante libération d'énergie allant jusqu'à 6 × 10e25 joules d'énergie. Ils sont souvent, mais pas toujours, suivis d'une éjection de masse coronale colossale. La fusée éjecte des nuages ​​d'électrons, d'ions et d'atomes à travers la couronne du soleil dans l'espace. Ces nuages ​​atteignent généralement la Terre un jour ou deux après l'événement.

Les éruptions solaires affectent toutes les couches de l'atmosphère solaire (photosphère, chromosphère et couronne), lorsque le milieu plasma est chauffé à des dizaines de millions de kelvin, tandis que les électrons, les protons et les ions plus lourds sont accélérés à près de la vitesse de la lumière. Ils produisent un rayonnement à travers le spectre électromagnétique à toutes les longueurs d'onde, des ondes radio aux rayons gamma, bien que la plupart de l'énergie soit répartie sur des fréquences en dehors de la plage visuelle et pour cette raison, la majorité des fusées éclairantes ne sont pas visibles à l'œil nu et doivent être observé avec des instruments spéciaux. Les éruptions se produisent dans les régions actives autour des taches solaires, où des champs magnétiques intenses pénètrent dans la photosphère pour relier la couronne à l'intérieur solaire. Les fusées éclairantes sont alimentées par la libération soudaine (de quelques minutes à des dizaines de minutes) d'énergie magnétique stockée dans la couronne. Les mêmes rejets d'énergie peuvent produire des éjections de masse coronale (CME), bien que la relation entre les CME et les éruptions ne soit pas encore bien établie.

La fréquence d'apparition des éruptions solaires varie, de plusieurs par jour lorsque le Soleil est particulièrement «actif» à moins d'une par semaine lorsque le Soleil est «calme», suivant le cycle de 11 ans (le cycle solaire). Les grosses fusées éclairantes sont moins fréquentes que les plus petites.

Classification

Les éruptions solaires sont classées comme A, B, C, M ou X selon le flux de pointe (en watts par mètre carré, W / m2) de rayons X de 100 à 800 picomètres près de la Terre, tel que mesuré sur le vaisseau spatial GOES.

Classification Peak Flux Range at 100-800 picometer
W/m2
A < 10e-7
B 10e-7 to 10e-6
C 10e-6 to 10e-5
M 10e-5 to 10e-4
X 10e-4 to 10e-3
Z > 10e-3

An earlier flare classification is based on Hα spectral observations. The scheme uses both the intensity and emitting surface. The classification in intensity is qualitative, referring to the flares as: (f)aint, (n)ormal or (b)rilliant. The emitting surface is measured in terms of millionths of the hemisphere and is described below. (The total hemisphere area AH = 6.2 × 1012 km2.)

Classification Corrected area
(millionths of hemisphere)
S < 100
1 100 - 250
2 250 - 600
3 600 - 1200
4 > 1200

Sunspot number

Sunspots

Les taches solaires sont des phénomènes temporaires sur la photosphère du Soleil qui apparaissent visiblement comme des taches sombres par rapport aux régions environnantes. Ils correspondent à des concentrations de champ magnétique qui inhibent la convection et entraînent une température de surface réduite par rapport à la photosphère environnante. Les taches solaires apparaissent généralement par paires, avec des membres de paires de polarité magnétique opposée. Le nombre de taches solaires varie en fonction du cycle solaire d'environ 11 ans.

Les populations de taches solaires augmentent rapidement et diminuent plus lentement selon un cycle irrégulier de 11 ans, bien que des variations significatives du nombre de taches solaires observant la période de 11 ans soient connues sur des périodes plus longues. Par exemple, de 1900 aux années 1960, la tendance des maxima solaires du nombre de taches solaires a été à la hausse; des années 1960 à nos jours, il a quelque peu diminué. Au cours des dernières décennies, le Soleil a eu un niveau moyen d'activité des taches solaires nettement élevé; il était également actif pour la dernière fois il y a plus de 8 000 ans.

Le nombre de taches solaires est en corrélation avec l'intensité du rayonnement solaire au cours de la période depuis 1979, lorsque les mesures par satellite du flux radiatif absolu sont devenues disponibles. Étant donné que les taches solaires sont plus sombres que la photosphère environnante, on peut s'attendre à ce que plus de taches solaires conduisent à moins de rayonnement solaire et à une constante solaire diminuée. Cependant, les marges environnantes des taches solaires sont plus lumineuses que la moyenne et sont donc plus chaudes; Dans l'ensemble, plus de taches solaires augmentent la constante solaire ou la luminosité du Soleil. La variation causée par le cycle des taches solaires à la production solaire est relativement faible, de l'ordre de 0,1% de la constante solaire (une plage pic à creux de 1,3 W / m2 contre 1366 W / m2 pour la constante solaire moyenne).

K-indices



Aujourd’hui


0h
UTC
3h
UTC
6h
UTC
9h
UTC
12h
UTC
15h
UTC
18h
UTC
21h
UTC
3. 33 2. 67 0.



Data


Estimated Planetary

Estimated Planetary

Date A K-indices (UTC)
0h 3h 6h 9h 12h 15h 18h 21h
16-01-2026 26 3. 33 3. 67 3.
17-01-2026 27 5. 33 3. 67 4.
18-01-2026 15 3. 00 3. 67 2.
19-01-2026 73 3. 33 1. 67 0.
20-01-2026 43 6. 33 5. 67 7.
21-01-2026 73 7. 33 7. 00 6.
22-01-2026 19 4. 33 3. 33 2.
23-01-2026 28 4. 33 4. 00 3.
24-01-2026 17 4. 00 2. 33 2.
25-01-2026 15 3. 33 3. 33 2.
26-01-2026 10 2. 33 1. 00 2.
27-01-2026 10 2. 00 2. 67 1.
28-01-2026 24 3. 33 3. 33 2.
29-01-2026 22 4. 33 3. 33 2.
30-01-2026 10 3. 67 3. 00 2.
31-01-2026 5 2. 00 2. 00 1.
01-02-2026 4 0. 33 0. 67 1.
02-02-2026 6 2. 33 2. 67 1.
03-02-2026 5 2. 00 1. 67 1.
04-02-2026 11 0. 67 0. 67 1.
05-02-2026 22 4. 33 5. 33 4.
06-02-2026 16 0. 67 1. 67 2.
07-02-2026 15 3. 67 3. 33 3.
08-02-2026 8 2. 67 2. 33 1.
09-02-2026 7 2. 67 1. 33 1.
10-02-2026 10 1. 00 0. 67 1.
11-02-2026 18 4. 00 3. 33 3.
12-02-2026 9 2. 67 2. 67 2.
13-02-2026 14 4. 00 2. 00 2.
14-02-2026 11 3. 33 2. 67 0.

Middle Latitude

Date A K-indices
16-01-2026 17 3 3 2 3 3 4 3 4
17-01-2026 18 5 3 3 2 3 3 3 3
18-01-2026 12 2 4 3 2 2 2 3 2
19-01-2026 64 2 1 0 1 1 3 8 8
20-01-2026 91 6 5 7 7 7 5 5 6
21-01-2026 45 6 6 6 5 4 3 3 3
22-01-2026 15 4 3 2 2 2 1 2 5
23-01-2026 17 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
24-01-2026 12 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 2
25-01-2026 12 3 3 2 3 3 3 2 2
26-01-2026 6 1 0 2 2 2 2 2 2
27-01-2026 7 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 3
28-01-2026 15 3 2 2 2 3 4 3 4
29-01-2026 14 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3
30-01-2026 9 4 2 2 2 2 2 1 2
31-01-2026 3 1 1 2 0 1 0 2 1
01-02-2026 2 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
02-02-2026 4 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 0
03-02-2026 3 1 1 0 1 2 1 2 0
04-02-2026 8 0 1 1 1 2 4 2 3
05-02-2026 15 3 4 4 3 3 2 2 1
06-02-2026 14 0 1 2 3 4 4 3 3
07-02-2026 11 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3
08-02-2026 5 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 2
09-02-2026 5 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1
10-02-2026 8 1 1 1 3 2 2 2 3
11-02-2026 13 3 3 2 3 2 3 3 3
12-02-2026 6 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2
13-02-2026 8 3 1 1 2 1 2 2 3
14-02-2026 2 3 0 0 2

High Latitude

Date A K-indices
16-01-2026 66 2 3 4 6 6 8 5 4
17-01-2026 39 4 3 5 6 5 5 4 3
18-01-2026 25 3 3 4 5 5 4 3 2
19-01-2026 91 3 1 1 4 3 4 9 8
20-01-2026 74 4 4 9 9 8 7 6 6
21-01-2026 95 6 8 7 7 6 5 3 3
22-01-2026 16 3 3 4 3 3 2 2 4
23-01-2026 58 4 4 5 7 6 6 5 3
24-01-2026 25 4 2 4 4 5 4 4 2
25-01-2026 32 2 2 5 5 5 6 2 2
26-01-2026 20 1 1 3 5 5 4 2 2
27-01-2026 17 2 1 4 5 3 3 3 2
28-01-2026 36 2 3 3 5 6 6 3 4
29-01-2026 33 4 3 2 5 6 5 4 3
30-01-2026 8 3 2 2 3 1 2 1 1
31-01-2026 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
01-02-2026 3 0 0 1 1 2 2 0 0
02-02-2026 3 0 1 2 2 1 0 0 0
03-02-2026 4 0 0 2 3 0 1 2 0
04-02-2026 10 0 0 0 2 2 5 2 2
05-02-2026 23 3 5 4 2 5 3 3 2
06-02-2026 32 1 2 1 5 6 5 5 3
07-02-2026 18 3 3 4 4 3 3 4 1
08-02-2026 6 2 2 0 3 2 1 1 2
09-02-2026 5 1 1 1 1 3 2 1 1
10-02-2026 10 0 0 0 5 2 1 2 3
11-02-2026 24 3 2 3 5 3 5 4 3
12-02-2026 18 2 2 3 5 3 5 1 0
13-02-2026 15 3 2 3 4 2 4 2 3
14-02-2026 3 3 0 0 0

About

The K-index quantifies disturbances in the horizontal component of earth's magnetic field with an integer in the range 0–9 with 1 being calm and 5 or more indicating a geomagnetic storm. It is derived from the maximum fluctuations of horizontal components observed on a magnetometer during a three-hour interval. The label K comes from the German word Kennziffer meaning “characteristic digit”. The K-index was introduced by Julius Bartels in 1938.

The Estimated 3-hour Planetary Kp-index is derived at the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center using data from the following ground-based magnetometers:

  • Sitka, Alaska
  • Meanook, Canada
  • Ottawa, Canada
  • Fredericksburg, Virginia
  • Hartland, UK
  • Wingst, Germany
  • Niemegk, Germany
  • Canberra, Australia

These data are made available thanks to the cooperative efforts between SWPC and data providers around the world, which currently includes the U.S. Geological Survey, Natural Resources Canada (NRCAN), the British Geological Survey, the German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ), and Geoscience Australia. Important magnetometer observations are also contributed by the Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris and the Korean Space Weather Center K-index Watches are issued when the highest predicted NOAA estimated Kp-indices for a day are K = 5, 6, 7, or >= 8 and is reported in terms of the NOAA G scale. K-index Warnings are issued when NOAA estimated Kp-indices of 4, 5, 6, and 7 or greater are expected. K-index Alerts are issued when the NOAA estimated Kp-indices reach 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, or 9.


More info
Source de données: NOAA, Wikipedia

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